Pakistan Today (Lahore)

Marcos’ landslide victory Inevitable

- rigoberto tiglao

SOCIAL MEDIA HAS GIVEN MANY THINKING FILIPINOS A VENUE TO EXPRESS THEIR VIEWS, AND BE READ BY OTHERS, THUS DISMANTLIN­G THE MYTH OF MAINSTREAM MEDIA AS THE ONLY SOURCE OF INFORMATIO­N AND TRUTH. INDEED, THERE ARE MORE RESPECTED PUBLIC$OPINION INFLUENCER­S IN SOCIAL MEDIA THAN IN PRINT MEDIA TODAY

If one looks objectivel­y at developmen­ts in the past decade or so, ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr.’s (BBM) landslide victory — the first majority president in our history ever — was inevitable, although his own political acumen was also a major factor. These developmen­ts are as follows.

first, the Yellow elite-manipulate­d revolution has been a failure, and the masses have gradually realized that the Yellow forces that started with Cory Aquino’s regime have served only their class.

The last Yellow regime, that of Benigno Aquino 3rd demonstrat­ed how rotten it was — in its incompeten­ce (the loss of Scarboroug­h Shoal and its belligeren­t stance toward China, the Mamasapano massacre, the colossal mishandlin­g of the Super Typhoon Yolanda’s disaster), in its ruthless highhanded­ness (the removal of Chief Justice Corona and the persecutio­n of former president Gloria Macapagal Arroyo), and in its corruption (mainly the hijacking of the budget through the Disburseme­nt Allocation Program). After Aquino, to use the Yellow’s own favorite slogan, the masses’ realizatio­n was: “Never again!”

It is ridiculous — as is most foreign media’s explanatio­n of Marcos’ win — to claim that filipinos have been so gullible to believe fake news in social media, especially facebook, that favored Marcos. I have never heard of anybody changing his or her choice for president after reading fake news about him or her. What social media does is to amplify or expound views people hold but which they haven’t been able to articulate or to get more arguments and informatio­n for. The fact that filipinos are supposedly one of the heaviest users of facebook and social media is very misleading. Most filipino internet users track the blogs and twitter accounts of celebritie­s or watch free TV movies.

rather social media has given many thinking filipinos a venue to express their views, and be read by others, thus dismantlin­g the myth of mainstream media as the only source of informatio­n and truth. Indeed, there are more respected public-opinion influencer­s in social media than in print media today.

Third, history, as all social science does, has moved on after three decades. history, as I learned long ago from my Ateneo history classes, is not some unchanging artifact like a receipt of rizal’s lottery bet or even a copy of the 1899 Malolos Constituti­on. history is rather a narration or analysis by historians, always really tentative, of what these artifacts mean. As the renowned historian edward Carr pointed out in his book What is history (our textbook in our history course): “The thought of historians, as of other human beings, is molded by the environmen­t of the time and place.”

Thus the history that has been dominant of BBM’S father’s martial law, has been the history to justify in the 1980s and even 1990s the Yellows’ unconstitu­tional toppling of Marcos, that he was a brutal dictator, that he ruined the economy, and so on.

But past historical narratives change with the discovery of new material previously hidden or unknown. Thus I have presented the transcript­s of the Congress hearings on the so-called Corregidor massacre to prove there never was a “Jabidah massacre,” that it was merely a devious move by the top opposition senator then, Benigno Aquino Jr., to expose Marcos’ plot to infiltrate Sabah to incite Muslims there to rebel against Malaysia. Thus I have presented lists of alleged human rights victims during martial law to show that most of these were not that innocent, but were communist or Muslim separatist guerrillas engaging in armed struggle to topple the state, and their leaders.

I wish somebody would get the transcript of the Marcos trial in hawaii over alleged human rights abuses. The references by scholars to it indicate that it was a kangaroo court, rushed in two weeks with a jury of only six hawaiians who thought the Philippine­s was Paraguay. The judge even ordered the defense not to utter the word “communist” so that Jose Ma. Sison, one of the principal complainan­ts, could not be described as the chairman of the Communist Party.

What the Yellows condemn as “historical revisionis­m” is a nonsensica­l term. history like all sciences or discipline­s is continuall­y revised, developed to conform to new informatio­n or new paradigms.

THREE FACTORS THAT EXPLAIN BBM’S LEAD:

The filipino masses — 60 percent of those who voted for BBM — think the Yellow narrative of martial law is a lie, invented by the Yellows, who therefore deserve to be toppled.

fourth, it is President rodrigo Duterte who paved the way for BBM and his daughter

Sara’s landslide victory. It was the Yellows’ fatal mistake to have had two candidates in 2016, Mar roxas and Jojo Binay, the more “traditiona­l” Yellows throwing their resources against the latter. The Dark horse Duterte came from behind capturing the imaginatio­n of filipinos who were starting to really rebel against the Yellows’ highhanded­ness.

Duterte took on the Yellows head-on, and weakened drasticall­y their media apparatus, especially the powerful ABS-CBN broadcasti­ng network. The Yellows, prodded by US help, opposed his major initiative­s, his war against illegal drugs and his rapprochem­ent with China, which they thought were controvers­ies which could bring him down.

They thought wrong. And with the benefits flowing from these two Duterte initiative­s, the Yellows were discredite­d, and thus politicall­y weakened drasticall­y, perhaps even fatally, since it was Leni robredo who was at the forefront in opposing Duterte on these issues. By 2022, the Yellows led by robredo were so politicall­y weakened that BBM, buoyed further by the filipinos’ realizatio­n that martial law wasn’t really such an era, had the presidency for the picking.

fifth, but even with all these four factors going for him, BBM would not have won by the landslide if not for his political acumen. he was playing the long game, and his bid for the vice presidency in 2016 was part of his plan to eventually win the presidency. While filing cases claiming he was cheated, he supported Duterte while building up his image as a non-confrontat­ional, unifying politician. he didn’t even — at least to my knowledge — debate with, much less quarrel, with the Yellows on his father’s track record during his martial law days.

Marcos also quietly employed science — that is, opinion surveys and political strategist­s — for his bid for the presidency. for instance he tracked through polls whether people’s perception of his father was a big obstacle to his presidenti­al bid. It wasn’t: 45 percent of filipinos looked favorably at his father in 2009; this gradually rose to 55 percent in 2016 — as Duterte referred to him in such kind terms — to 72 percent in 2021, which meant his father’s image was an asset for his bid. I don’t know if BBM did similar opinion surveys on his mother Imelda. But isn’t it so noticeable that Imelda has been totally absent in his campaign?

BBM’S political brilliance though was his success in getting Sara Duterte to be his running mate, although I am not privy to informatio­n on whether it was she who offered to be his running mate.

Whatever happened, Sara as his running mate amplified the perception that he is the political heir of Duterte (whom most filipinos see as a good if not the best president ever) who would continue his bold but effective leadership of the country. Duterte’s not openly endorsing him was even a clever move, as it insulated him from the accusation­s involving human rights abuses against the outgoing president, making him the kinder version of Duterte.

BBM was standing really on the shoulders of two giants, his father and Duterte, and had a good head on his own shoulders. how could he not win by a landslide against a fraud of a candidate, who really obviously can’t boast she stands on the shoulders of Cory and Noynoy?

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