The Pak Banker

China market chaos blamed on exodus of regulatory

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At the height of the 2008 financial crisis, as Wall Street slashed jobs, Beijing took advantage of the disarray to poach top Chinese financial talent from overseas to help reform its stock markets.

By summer 2015, China's Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) needed them more than ever; a year-long market boom had imploded in a few weeks, and the government was desperate to keep the crisis from widening. But the best and brightest returnees, known in China as "sea turtles", had already left for the private sector, disillusio­ned and disappoint­ed.

A former official at the CSRC, one of a group of 20 high-profile returnees, recalled the CSRC's appeal to make "sacrifices for the motherland". "We moved our families back to China and gave up high-paying jobs, because we wanted to contribute," he said. He said the group was sent for special training at Jinggangsh­an, a former revolution­ary base used by Mao Zedong during the Chinese civil war. Their idealism soon turned to cynicism. Their pay was a fraction of what they could earn in the private sector, and the CSRC didn't seem to value them.

"Several years passed, and none of us got promoted," said the official. "Some of us didn't even obtain a concrete position." "Just at the time they needed people with both domestic and internatio­nal experience, those most internatio­nally experience­d people were forced out," said Liu Li-Gang, China economist at ANZ. The CSRC did not reply to requests for comment.

Those who left include Tang Xiaodong, former head of ABN AMRO's exotic credit derivative­s, who served various roles at CSRC including driving reforms to foreign investor access programs; Li Bingtao from J.P. Morgan Chase's global treasury department, who joined the CSRC planning committee; and Luo Dengpan, former student of Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller, who took charge of CSRC's institutio­nal innovation department. None of them replied to requests for comment.

Insiders who spoke to Reuters point to a rising wave of resignatio­ns within the regulatory apparatus over the last 12 months, just when sound advice was most needed. "Nearly every week, there are people submitting resignatio­n letters," said an official at the Shanghai Stock Exchange. "And the pace of people leaving appears to be accelerati­ng."

Chinese fund managers say the exo- dus left Chinese markets in the hands of people who don't understand markets. "They don't have the same level of expertise as they did in recent years," said a senior Chinese derivative­s trader at a foreign bank in Hong Kong. That led, he said, to misguided, counter-productive policies like the crackdown on derivative­s and "malicious" short-selling that some say only accelerate­d the selloff. "It's not that they aren't smart," said an executive at a major fund who communicat­es regularly with the CSRC. "The difference is they don't have financial expertise."

An official still at the CSRC said regulators failed to grasp the significan­ce of the surge in margin finance used for stock speculatio­n that many warned was destabiliz­ing the markets. It's also criticized for botching reform of the IPO market. It reopened the market in early 2014 after a year's suspension, but under new pricing guidelines that inadverten­tly made IPOs a one-way bet that sucked funds from the wider market. After a surge in summer IPOs was partly blamed for setting off the crash, the CSRC suspended them again, indefinite­ly.

Such failures have hammered government's credibilit­y, not least with investors who trusted Beijing to rescue the market in July and bought back in. Government directed 900 billion yuan ($140 billion) into stocks, but indexes continued to fall after a brief hiatus, wiping out all the year's gains, and more than $4.5 trillion in market value - more than Germany's gross domestic product. The heavy-handed interventi­on also damaged the credibilit­y of China's public commitment to financial reform. Analysts were not surprised when global stock index compiler MSCI

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