The Pak Banker

Oil rises as producers announce meeting on output freeze

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Oil prices firmed on Wednesday on an announceme­nt that producers will meet next month in Qatar to discuss a proposal to freeze output and on growing signs of a decline in U.S. crude production. Producers both from and outside the Organizati­on of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will hold talks in the capital Doha on April 17, Qatari oil minister Mohammed Bin Saleh Al-Sada said.

Around 15 OPEC and non-OPEC producers, accounting for about 73 percent of global oil output, support the initiative, the minister said in a statement.

Brent (LCOc1) crude futures were up 48 cents at $39.22 a barrel at 0948 GMT. U.S. crude futures (CLc1) were trading 60 cents a barrel higher at $36.94. Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Venezuela along with non-OPEC member Russia agreed last month to freeze output at January levels, but Iran has rejected such a deal.

On Monday, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said a deal could be signed excluding Iran, which he said has the right to boost oil output after years of sanctions. OPEC sources told Reuters a deal excluding Iran is not ideal, but not a deal breaker. Analysts, however, said talks about freezing output would do little to rein in a global glut that sees more than 1 million barrels of crude produced every day in excess of demand.

"Any such deal would still not be a game changer. It would really just maintain the excess supply that is now in place," Thomas Pugh Economics said in a note.

But Standard Chartered said supply concerns due to non-OPEC production cuts could drive prices above $60 a barrel by the end of the year.

"We think that in coming months supply-side concerns will dominate, particular­ly when global inventorie­s start to fall, which we think will happen in the third quarter," the bank said in a note.

U.S. shale producer Linn Energy (LINE.O) said on Tuesday that bankruptcy may be unavoidabl­e as the company missed interest payments amid a slump in oil prices of as much as 70 percent since mid-2014. Other companies, also fighting for survival, are seeking risky and costly borrowing from private equity firms.

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