The Pak Banker

Gold steadies ahead of US payrolls data as equities slip

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Gold steadied on Friday as a retreat in equities and the dollar supported the metal after its biggest quarterly rise in nearly 30 years, but moves were muted ahead of key U.S. payrolls data.

Spot gold was at $1,231.78 an ounce at 0942 GMT, little changed from $1,231.95 late on Thursday, while U.S. gold futures for June delivery were down $1.20 an ounce at $1,234.40. The metal has risen 1.4 percent this week after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said that the U.S. central bank should proceed only cautiously with further interest rate increases.

"Yellen said the Fed would be very (cautious) when it comes to new interest rate hikes. That was a signal for the mar- ket to go up," LBBW analyst Thorsten Proettel said. "I don't think the market has to fear big interest rate hikes in 2016 from the Fed. Overall monetary policy will be very supportive for gold."

The metal is sensitive to rising U.S. rates as they lift the opportunit­y cost of holding non-yielding assets like bullion, while boosting the dollar.

Prices rallied more than 16 percent in the year to end March as expectatio­ns faded that the Fed would press quickly ahead with rate hikes this year after their first increase in nearly a decade in December. Gold stabilised above $1,230 an ounce on Friday, but was held in a narrow range by uncertaint­y ahead of the payrolls numbers. A weak reading could further allay expectatio­ns for near-term Fed action to tighten monetary policy.

Payrolls are expected to have risen by 205,000 last month, according to a Reuters poll. "A number above 200,000 new net jobs could weigh on gold and clip recent gains," HSBC said in a note. "But it would take a very good jobs number - and maybe a change in market sentiment regarding a likely April rate hike - to send gold back down to anywhere near the $1,200 level, we believe."

European shares fell more than 1.5 percent ahead of the data, while the dollar retreated versus the euro.

Physical gold demand in the major Asian markets of China and India has been soft this week due to rising prices, traders said. India's gold demand in the March quarter is set to drop by about twothirds from a year ago to its lowest in seven years.

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