The Pak Banker

Singapore exports down 2.3pc in June after May rebound

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Exports in Singapore fell a disappoint­ing 2.3 per cent last month, after a surprise rebound in May which saw exports surging by 11.6 per cent. Non-oil domestic exports (NODX) were hit by a decline in both electronic and non-electronic exports, according to latest figures released by Internatio­nal Enterprise (IE) Singapore on Monday (Jul 18).

Exports to half of Singapore's top 10 markets fell, with Indonesia, China and the European Union leading the decline. Exports to China - Singapore's largest export market - remained weak, contractin­g 9.9 per cent after a 10.1 per cent decline in May and a 7.4 per cent fall in April. Overall, exports of electronic products fell 1.7 per cent in June, following the 6 per cent contractio­n in the previous month. The decrease was largely due to PCs (-29.0 per cent), disk drives (-26.9 per cent) and parts of PCs (-8.5 per cent).

Non-electronic exports shrank 2.5 per cent, in contrast to the 19 per cent expansion in May. The decrease was led by petrochemi­cals (-15.6 per cent), primary chemicals (-30.5 per cent) and electrical machinery (33.0 per cent). Non-oil reexports ( NORX) rose 0.6 per cent, in contrast to the 3.2 per cent decline in the previous month, mainly due to an increase in non-electronic re-exports which outweighed the fall in electronic re-exports.

Electronic re-exports contracted by 0.7 per cent, after declining 7.9 per cent in May. In contrast, re-exports of non-electronic products rose 2 per cent, following a 1.9 per cent increase in the previous month. According to DBS' senior economist Irvin Seah, while the sharp month-on-month pullback for NODX is in line with expectatio­ns, he said the extent of the downswing was "more severe" than anticipate­d. "This is a yet again another reminder that prospects on the external front are not that bright after all," said Mr Seah. "And this is despite the better-than-expected advance GDP estimates in the second quarter." Mr Seah also said the surge in May was largely due to a spike in some unusual export products, which is unlikely to be sustainabl­e.

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