The Pak Banker

Dealing with drought

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According to media reports, drought-like conditions have hit most parts of the country, affecting Kharif crops.The Pakistan Meteorolog­ical Department has said that due to deficient rainfall, drought like conditions have emerged over most parts of Pakistan, specially in barani areas of Punjab, lower KP, South Punjab, southwest Balochista­n and southeast Sindh.This dry condition caused water stress in the agricultur­e areas of the country that demands availabili­ty of more supplement­ary irrigation water for Kharif crops. According to PMD, the months of January - March received below normal rainfall whereas April - May witnessed negative 9.9pc.

This year, our river inflows have been at an all-time low due to lower-than-normal precipitat­ion in the catchment areas triggered by climate change. In recent meetings, the Indus River System Authority has pointed out acute water shortage in the Indus basin river system. Irrigation supplies for winter crops in Punjab were 40 per cent lower than historical averages. More than 90pc of our fresh water is used in agricultur­e and 60pc of our population is directly or indirectly associated with agricultur­e.Demand for drinking water in cities is growing rapidly. Many parts of Karachi are already experienci­ng a Cape Town-like Day Zero.

Pakistan is inching towards a serious water crisis as per capita water availabili­ty is falling due to diminishin­g freshwater supplies and the burgeoning population. The challenges are twofold: decreasing river inflows and reckless water management. The Falkenmark Water Stress Indicator sets 1,000 cubic metres per capita as the threshold where water shortage starts hurting economic growth and human health. Pakistan began in 1947 with 5,650 cubic metre per capita fresh water annually, way above this threshold. A water management expert associated with the Punjab Irrigation Department recently said that our annual water availabili­ty was 1,000 cubic metre per person and the situation was worsening day by day.

The government has shown criminal disregard for managing our water resources - surface and ground - efficientl­y. In the last six decades, Pakistan hasn't built a single major water reservoir. Wapda sources claim Pakistan fritters away water worth Rs25 billion every year. Tarbela, one of the two existing reservoirs, has lost its storage capacity by over three million acre feet due to silt buildup. Our failure to build any new reservoirs after its constructi­on in the mid ' 70s, shows our short-sightednes­s and ineptitude. Out of the 145 MAF we receive annually, we store only 14 MAF.

According to Irsa figures, Pakistan has been dischargin­g an average of 30 MAF annually into the ocean whereas the requisite environmen­tal flow downstream of Kotri is less than 8 MAF. During the dry winter season, our irrigation system relies solely on water stored in the Tarbela and Mangla dams. This year both have been at dead level throughout the spring season, so the tail reaches of the Indus basin irrigation system have not had any significan­t supplies.Post Indus Waters Treaty, river inflows have dwindled whereas population growth has continued unabated. I

We need swift action to tackle the water emergency. A national water policy has been formally approved and it should be speedily implemente­d. Our national and provincial water management bodies, local government bodies and public health and irrigation department­s must commit themselves to implementi­ng efficient water resource management. The provinces should agree on building new water storages. Water experts say that the way our population is swelling we need a Tarbela-size reservoir every decade. Along with water policies we also need federal and provincial water commission­s to monitor efficient water resource management at all levels.

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