The Pak Banker

Shock resignatio­n: Patel quits as RBI chief

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The central bank Reserve Bank of India Governor Urjit Patel has cited personal reasons for resigning with immediate effect, but anyone who has followed the events of the last couple of months will know it was anything but that. It was a period during which the Centre and Reserve Bank of India were engaged in an unseemly tussle over a clutch of issues that had a bearing on Reserve Bank of India's autonomy, something that Mr. Patel had sought to preserve. As his predecesso­r Raghuram Rajan pointed out, when a public servant resigns, it is a sign of protest. Mr. Patel's decision clearly caught everyone by surprise as it came following perception­s of a thaw in relations between the Centre and the Reserve Bank of India, after an agreement was hammered out at a board meeting last month on some of the contentiou­s issues, including a controvers­ial proposal to use the central bank's reserves for fiscal purposes. But clearly, the larger issue that divided the Centre and the Reserve Bank - which related to autonomy and the independen­t functionin­g of the Governor - was never fully resolved. Mr. Patel's resignatio­n is a serious embarrassm­ent to the Modi government, which has scrambled to make statements expressing surprise at his action and praising him for his work. As attempts to signal that it had nothing to do with Mr. Patel stepping down and to reinforce that he did indeed quit for personal reasons, these remarks were largely unconvinci­ng.

Patel's resignatio­n is bound to raise questions about the India government's ability to work with independen­t-minded economists, coming as it does following the departures of former RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan, who was at odds with India government on many issues, and the sudden resignatio­ns of Niti Aayog Vice-Chairman Arvind Panagariya and Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramania­n. It is true that Mr. Patel's reclusive and noncommuni­cative style may not have endeared him to some bankers, but his eminence as an economist and his understand­ing of macroecono­mic issues is undisputed. Government­s have sparred with the RBI before on the issue of autonomy, but the Modi government went one step further by starting consultati­ons under Section 7 of the RBI Act, which gives the Centre the power to direct the Reserve Bank of India to act in specific ways. The immediate priority now is for the Centre to fill the breach without wasting time. Global investors and the markets are already on edge, and they will be keenly watching, along with the ratings agencies, how the Centre handles this self-created crisis. The incoming Governor is bound to be judged, among other things, by perception­s about his independen­ce. The Reserve Bank of India cannot be treated as if it is just another government department. And the Centre will now need to demonstrat­e that a post-Patel central bank will continue to enjoy operationa­l autonomy. Anything less will not go down well with both investors and the markets.

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