The Pak Banker

Tesla drops 6pc as quarterly deliveries underwhelm Wall Street

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Tesla's (TSLA.O) stock dropped 6% after the electric car maker's quarterly deliveries underwhelm­ed investors already concerned about slowing revenue growth and ongoing losses.

While Tesla delivered a record 97,000 cars, it missed Wall Street estimates of 97,477 vehicles and - more importantl­y - fell short of 100,000 deliveries that CEO Elon Musk said the company had "a shot" at in an email leaked last week.

Tesla has set a target to deliver 360,000 to 400,000 vehicles in 2019, which means it must deliver almost 105,000 vehicles in its final quarter to meet the low end of its full-year forecast.

While supporters view Tesla as a growth stock, analysts on average expect the company to report a 7% drop in revenue and a non-GAAP loss of $82 million for the September quarter, according to Refinitiv data. Full-year revenue is seen increasing 15%, far less than Tesla's revenue growth of over 80% in 2018.

"Given the decelerati­ng revenue growth in 2019 and ongoing gross margin pressure, we expect net losses to exceed the losses in 2018, placing more pressure on what we see as an already expensive valuation," Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill wrote in a client note.

The Model 3 sedan was meant to propel Tesla to sustainabl­e profitabil­ity, but that has yet to happen during the car's two years on the market. While production problems initially hampered sales, some investors now worry about soft demand for the vehicle, as well as waning sales of its higher-end vehicles that are more profitable for Tesla.

Musk has pushed back his target of turning a profit a number of times, most recently targeting the fourth quarter of 2019, with the September quarter to be break-even.

Many on Wall Street have grown skeptical of Musk's pronouncem­ents, such as his prediction last April that selfdrivin­g Tesla taxis would be available in some U.S. markets next year.

Underscori­ng investors' doubts about Tesla's progress with autonomous-driving technology, a U.S. regulator said it was looking into parking lot crashes involving Tesla cars driving themselves to their owners using a recently launched Smart Summon feature. After slumping in early 2019, Tesla's stock has stabilized since June, but it remains down 31% year to date.

To turn profitable, Musk has put a lid on costs while investing in initiative­s such as building a $2 billion factory in Shanghai, as well as planned future models, such as the Model Y SUV and a commercial truck.

Tesla aims to start production at its China factory this month, but it is unclear when it will meet year-end production targets due to uncertaint­ies around orders, labor and suppliers, sources with knowledge of the matter told.

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