The Pak Banker

Gold steadies as US-China trade talks advance

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Gold steadied on Monday after jumping 1% in the previous session as progress in U.S.-China trade talks limited further gains, and as caution set in ahead of this week's U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.

Palladium meanwhile continued a record run linked to supply shortages to hit another all-time high. Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,505.18 per ounce as of 1036 GMT, while U.S. gold futures were 0.2% higher at $1,508.40 per ounce.

Traders are watching for further clues on the outlook for monetary policy at the Fed's Oct. 29-30 meeting, at which the U.S. central bank is widely expected to agree to cut its benchmark interest rates for the third time this year.

According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, there is a 90.4% chance for a 25 basis point rate cut. "The projection­s for further cuts are probably helping provide support to gold," Saxo Bank commodity strategist Ole Hansen said. However, there is "definitely some caution" in the market, he added.

"The fact that we're seeing volatility being sent lower, stock markets at near record highs especially in United States that's reducing the need for gold, at least in the near term." A retreat in European shares on Monday after five straight days of gains and a drip in the dollar index from a one-week high helped bullion to steady.

US and Chinese officials are "close to finalising" some parts of a trade agreement after highlevel telephone discussion­s, the U.S. Trade Representa­tive's office and China's Commerce Ministry said. U.S. President Donald Trump last week said Washington was doing well in its trade negotiatio­ns with China and that China wants to make a deal "very badly".

"Gold remains supported by an expected Fed rate cut, but gains could be limited by ongoing trade talks and a probable EU 27 extension which quashes the no-deal Brexit risk," AxiTrader market strategist Stephen Innes said in a note. European Council President Donald Tusk said that the 27 countries that will remain in the European Union after Britain leaves agreed on Monday to accept London's request for a Brexit extension until January 31, 2020.

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