The Pak Banker

Gold eases on stronger equities, trade optimism

Lebanon bonds extend rally

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Gold inched lower on Monday on increasing risk appetite amongst investors, driven by optimism on U.S.China trade talks and fading fears of a global economic slowdown.

Spot gold fell 0.2% to $1,510.60 per ounce at 1056 GMT. U.S. gold futures edged 0.1% higher at $1,512.70.

"Gold has been caught in a range for a few weeks considerin­g that these recession fears have really faded. Also, there was some progress in the trade talks, this is really holding gold back at the moment," said Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke.

"It's really this kind of shift of sentiment in financial markets - from concern to rather optimistic - which is causing some headwinds to gold."

European shares soared to a near two-year high on strong earning reports and hopes for a trade deal between Washington and Beijing.

However, weak manufactur­ing data from major European regions indicated further uncertaint­y in global growth, which is supportive of demand for bullion as a safehaven asset, said analysts.

In Berlin, the European Central Bank's new head, Christine Lagarde, gives her first speech in the role later in the day and markets expect her to stick to an easy policy script left by her predecesso­r, Mario Draghi. On the trade front, the United States and China said they made progress in talks aimed at defusing a nearly 16month-long trade war that has harmed the global economy, and U.S. officials said a deal could be signed this month.

Markets drew further optimism from U.S. economic data last week that eased apprehensi­ons of a slowdown fuelled by the trade war.

Last week, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time this year, but signalled there would be no further reductions unless the economy takes a turn for the worse.

"The overall backdrop for gold with the shaky global growth, uncertaint­ies related to trade tensions, weakening U.S. dollar that remains in place as we're moving into 2020 - based on that we believe that gold will be higher," Julius Baer's Menke said.

Speculator­s increased their net long positions in both gold and silver in the week to Oct. 29, data showed.

Among other metals, silver remained unchanged at $18.08 per ounce.

Platinum rose 0.6% to $951.89 per ounce, having earlier hit its highest since Sept. 25 at $955.75, while palladium advanced 0.4% to $1,812.08.

"Given its (platinum's) sluggish behaviour this year, particular­ly when comparing to palladium, perhaps there is room for more extension here. $960 has spooked investors a number of times so that is an important level to watch, in conjunctio­n with the psychologi­cal $1000," MKS PAMP said in a note.

Lebanon sovereign dollarbond­s rallied again on Monday following almost two weeks of hefty losses as the country was facing its biggest economic crisis in decades, though protests showed little sign of abating.

The gains came across most of the curve with the 2021 bond enjoying the largest jump, adding 2.12 cents in the dollar to trade at 74.375 cents, Tradeweb data showed. However, this was still well below the near-90 cents in the dollar pre-protests.

Many longer-dated issues added around 1.5 cents in the dollar on Monday.

On Monday, protesters blocked roads in Beirut and other parts of Lebanon, pressing a wave of demonstrat­ions against the ruling elite that have plunged the country into political turmoil at a time of acute economic crisis.

The nationwide protests, which were ignited on Oct. 17 by a government proposal to tax WhatsApp calls, led Saad al-Hariri to resign as prime minister last week. Formal

 ?? -AFP ?? Thailand Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha and US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross attend their bilateral meeting.
-AFP Thailand Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha and US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross attend their bilateral meeting.

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