Senate polls & political malaise
Recent controversies over the form and nature of the Senate election lay bare some longstanding and fundamental problems with Pakistan's political landscape.
The first, and what some may call the original, sin of this moment is the issue of political corruption: elected legislators taking money to produce outcomes that are out of step with either the proportionality of party position or the stated political strategy of parties. The ethos of these outcomes can rest on privatised interest - ie some influential candidate trying to win on their own, without support from party leaders. Or as is fairly common, more substantive manipulation by parties in concert with the establishment to produce a favourable make-up of the legislature itself.
This is the fundamental problem that the ruling party has adopted as its rationale for an ordinance-based solution. The solution proposed is belated accountability by the party after a nonsecret ballot. It doesn't offer anything more than a hypothetical deterrent, though that's more than what the current system offers (which is zero).
An excellent column by Tahir Mehdi on these very pages from three years ago pointed out that India, when faced with a similar issue, legislated for a non-secret ballot. Rule 39AA of the elections to the Rajya Sabha requires the electors to show their marked ballots to their party's polling agent. However, as the article detailed, this hasn't stopped vote-buying mechanisms, which continue to resurface periodically. The Election Commission of India cancelled the Rajya Sabha election on two seats in Jharkhand state in 2012 after it confiscated crores of rupees in cash from a candidate's vehicle on election day.
On the other hand, as party positions were secure and clear on the other 55 (of 58 vacant) seats in different states in the same election, candidates on all of them returned unopposed, meaning that no polling was required.
The Senate election might end up resembling a reserved seat nomination process. What that means is that ending secrecy otherwise strengthened party proportionality. Meaning that the Senate is likely to reflect the underlying strength of parties in the electing legislatures.
In the absence of secret voting and no other mechanism of undermining proportionality, the Senate election would end up resembling a reserved seat nomination process rather than an election. As far as I'm concerned this is not the worst outcome imaginable, though it does strengthen even more the power of party leaders who hand out tickets, and would require some work to figure out how independent legislators and smaller parties in the provincial assemblies would have their preferences reflected. In the long run, it could turn out to be a reasonable guard against external interference of various stripes.
A better solution though remains a direct election with voters in provinces having multi-member constituencies at the divisional or regional level. Working out what that constituency would look like and balancing out intra-provincial inequities in representation are key questions, but can be deliberated upon if the political elite (and the ruling party in particular) is serious about ending discrepancies in Senate voting.
These are technical/institutional fixes to the basic problem of political corruption identified at the start. Recent events reflect two other problems as well, which actually inhibit the ability to implement sustainable fixes. One of these two is selective judicial overreach on political-institutional issues whose mandate is otherwise explicit in the Constitution. Recent statements questioning the need for a secret ballot by the bench are perplexing in this regard, given how categorical the constitutional provision itself is. This also appears to be the view of most legal experts commenting on the matter at hand.
Similarly, the acceptance of a presidential reference (which was bizarrely filed alongside an ordinance contingent on its outcome) asking for a review on an issue that leaves no space for interpretation does not bode well for the demarcation of institutional responsibilities within the state as a whole. This again is a persisting problem and one that has become depressingly familiar these past couple of decades.
The second problem is the practice of the political elite more broadly, and ruling parties more specifically, to bypass parliamentary fora for deliberation, institutional design, and conflict resolution. The reasons are usually expedient, though they're dressed up as 'need of the hour' or 'national interest'. Ordinance after ordinance at both the national and provincial level is issued to tackle every issue that otherwise requires legislative attention. With each such step, the prescribed role of legislatures gets further pushed to one side, rendering them unable to carry out actual tasks of oversight, accountability, and representation. Little wonder then that elected representatives remain fixated on the issue of development funds, given that that's what they're largely expected to do.