The Pak Banker

HSBC looks to Asia after profits plunge 34pc

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HSBC, Britain's biggest bank, has recorded a 34% drop in profit for 2020 as it prepares to double down on its operations in Hong Kong and China despite concern about the political crackdown in the former UK colony. The bank said on Tuesday that pre-tax profit was down from $13.3bn (£9.4bn) in 2019 to $8.8bn in the 12 months to 31 December, while the adjusted profit before tax of $12.1bn (£8.6bn) fell 76% on the year before.

The bank reported an adjusted revenue of $50.4bn (£35.8bn), representi­ng a fall of just 8% on 2019, but its shares shot up 3.3% in early trading in Hong Kong following Tuesday's announceme­nt. The bank announced a major executive reshuffle that saw its chief financial officer, Ewen Stevenson, assume responsibi­lity for the group's transforma­tion programme and its mergers and acquisitio­ns agenda.

In addition, Stephen Moss, who was head of strategy, will take on the role of chief executive for the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey and will relocate to Dubai from London in a signal of the bank's intentions to focus on commercial opportunit­ies in Asia. More executive roles are expected to relocate to the bank's historic home base of Hong Kong, according to reports, in a move that defies some Conservati­ve party calls for British businesses to be more cautious about dealings with China.

Hong Kong is in the midst of an increasing­ly authoritar­ian crackdown pushed by the Chinese Communist leadership in Beijing, with several prominent opposition figures arrested and others banished. But HSBC said its strategy for the future would include shifting capital to Asia, where it makes the majority of its earnings. Last month the bank announced it would close 82 branches across the UK after the pandemic led to a greater shift to online banking, though it did say the closures were not entirely related to the lockdowns and restrictio­ns introduced.

Group chief executive Noel Quinn, who is expected to map out more details on the bank's strategy update and job losses later on Tuesday, said the company's mandate in 2020 was to "provide stability in a highly unstable environmen­t for our customers, communitie­s and colleagues".

He added: "I believe we achieved that in spite of the many challenges presented by the Covid-19 pandemic and heightened geopolitic­al uncertaint­y. "Our people delivered an exceptiona­l level of support for our customers in very tough circumstan­ces, while our strong balance sheet and liquidity gave reassuranc­e to those who rely on us.

"We achieved this while delivering a solid financial performanc­e in the context of the pandemic - particular­ly in Asia - and laying firm foundation­s for our future growth." Asian markets fluctuated Tuesday, with growing optimism that the rollout of vaccines will allow the global economy to get back on track offset by niggling worries that the recovery will fan inflation and lead to a hike in interest rates.

With government­s picking up the pace in their inoculatio­n drives, and infection and death rates slowing in most parts of the world, observers are predicting a surge in economic activity from the middle of the year as lockdowns are eased.

Added to that is Joe Biden's huge growth-boosting spending programme, which is likely to be passed by Congress next month, on top of the Federal Reserve's pledge to keep monetary policy ultra-loose for as long as needed. Monumental government and central bank support worth trillions of dollars has been a key driver of the surge in world equities from their nadir almost a year ago when the coronaviru­s was rampaging across the planet.

But while the mood is increasing­ly good, investors are turning their focus to the impact of the reflation -- a rally in prices as people go back to shops and restaurant­s or start going on holiday again.

Expectatio­ns that inflation will spike has seen US 10-year Treasury yields rally to a one-year high, and that has spooked investors who fear that means interest rates will go up in turn.

Technology firms, which have outperform­ed as they benefit from people being forced to stay home, have been worst hit, while those likely to do well as economies reopen are enjoying much-needed buying interest. "Investors are quickly rediscover­ing that not all stocks are created equal in a Covid recovery as expensive tech names (are sold) to provide the source of funds for less expensive travel-related markers, along with energy and other inflation beneficiar­ies," said Axi strategist Stephen Innes.

The play-off between recovery and inflation worries has brought a rally in world markets to a halt in recent weeks, after some had hit record or multi-year highs. The tech-rich Nasdaq tumbled more than two percent, while the S&P 500 was also in the red, though the Dow eked out gains.

And Asian investors trod warily. Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore and Jakarta were all up but Seoul, Wellington, Taipei and Manila fell. Tokyo was closed for a holiday.

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