The Pak Banker

India sees fuel demand seen rebounding in year to March 2022

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India's fuel consumptio­n could rise by 9.8% in the year to March 2022, its highest pace of growth in six years, driven by robust demand for gasoline and gasoil in Asia's third largest economy, according to initial government projection­s.

Higher expectatio­n of fuel consumptio­n, a proxy for oil demand, points to a sharp recovery in industrial activity in the economy hit hard by the pandemic. India could consume 215.24 million tonnes of refined fuels in the financial year 2021/22 compared to the revised estimate of 195.94 million tonnes consumed in 2020/21, data posted on the website of Petroleum Planning Analysis Cell (PPAC) showed.

India's economy returned to growth in the three months to December with its gross domestic product rising 0.4% compared with the same period a year earlier. The recovery is expected to gather pace as consumers and investors shake off the effects of the coronaviru­s pandemic.

During April 2020 to January 2021, the first 10 months of this fiscal year, India's fuel consumptio­n fell by 13.5% as lockdown measures to stem the spread of COVID-19 hit demand in the world's third biggest oil consumer. The increase in India's fuel consumptio­n will aid global oil markets as the nation is seen as a main driver of rising demand for energy over the next two decades, the Internatio­nal Energy Agency said in January. Local sales of gasoil and gasoline, which together account for half of overall refined fuel sales in India, is projected to rise by 13.3% each, the data showed.

Consumptio­n of diesel is related closely to economic growth and accounts for up to 40% of the refined fuel sales in India. With easing restrictio­ns and resumption of business, India's jet fuel sales are expected to reach 6.45 million tonnes in 2021/22, a growth of about 74.2% from the revised estimates of this year, the data showed. Sale of liquefied petroleum gas, mainly used for cooking, is expected to rise 4.8% to 29 million tonnes, the data showed.

Meanwhile, India is ready to offer incentives to ensure Tesla Inc's cost of production would be less than in

China if the carmaker commits to making its electric vehicles in the south Asian country, transport minister Nitin Gadkari told Reuters.

Gadkari's pitch comes weeks after billionair­e Elon Musk's Tesla registered a company in India in a step towards entering the country, possibly as soon as mid2021. Sources familiar with the matter have said Tesla plans to start by importing and selling its Model 3 electric sedan in India.

"Rather than assembling (the cars) in India they should make the entire product in the country by hiring local vendors. Then we can give higher concession­s," Gadkari said in an interview, without giving details of what incentives would be on offer. "The government will make sure the production cost for Tesla will be the lowest when compared with the world, even China, when they start manufactur­ing their cars in India. We will assure that," he said.

India wants to boost local manufactur­ing of electric vehicles (EVs), batteries and other components to cut costly imports and curb pollution in its major cities.

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