The Pak Banker

Dollar hits two-week high in wake of rates talk

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The dollar hit its highest in over two weeks on Wednesday, extending a rally as chatter about the possibilit­y of higher U.S. interest rates and a sell-off in tech stocks soured risk sentiment to the benefit of the safe-haven currency.

The dollar's bounce on Tuesday put pressure on the euro, which dropped once again below the $1.20 mark on Wednesday, hitting its lowest against the buck in over two weeks.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of peer currencies, rose as high as 91.436, its highest since April 19. The bounce was partly sparked by comments from US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen that rate hikes may be needed to stop the economy overheatin­g.

Yellen later downplayed their importance, but even the slightest mention of U.S. tightening has an outsized impact in markets that have become so dependent on monetary stimulus.

The effect was apparent in large-cap tech stocks, which suffered hefty losses overnight, dragging the Nasdaq down 1.88%.

"The markets may be tempted to do some 'yellen and screaming' after last night's episode, following the apparent hawkish comments by the U.S. Treasury secretary and the subsequent backtracki­ng," said Valentin Marinov, head of G10 FX research at Credit Agricole.

"All that said, the comments do highlight that there is now an ongoing debate among the U.S. officials about the need to curb the Fed's ultra-aggressive monetary stimulus."

So far, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has argued the labour market is still far short of where it needs to be to start talking of tapering asset buying.

That position could be tested on Friday should the April payrolls report be as strong as some are suggesting. The median forecast is for a rise of 978,000, but estimates stretch as high as 2.1 million.

Three more Fed officials are speaking later on Wednesday providing the opportunit­y for further market-moving comments.

On the data calendar, traders will look to the ADP payroll numbers that precedes Friday's jobs numbers, and the ISM services index for April, both due later in the U.S. trading session.

"Two strong releases may cast further doubt on the ability of the Fed to hang on to its dovishness and could help the dollar stay supported today," said Francesco Pesole, G10 FX strategist at ING in a note.

"Low-yielders may be the main underperfo­rmer if the dollar inches higher, while activity currencies may still benefit from the supported reflationa­ry story and some evidence of vaccinatio­n rollout gathering more pace in key regions of the world."

Trading was limited in Asia with Japan and China on holiday, but the New Zealand dollar blipped over half a percent higher to $0.7192 on the back of stronger than expected jobs data. The Australian dollar also ticked higher, up 0.3% to $0.7736. The U.S. dollar last traded flat to the yen at 109.29 and again needs to break resistance at 109.61 to encourage more speculativ­e bids. Sterling traded 0.24% higher at $1.3918 a day ahead of the Bank of England meeting, where it is expected by some to announce a tapering of its bond-buying programme.

Industrial materials maker DuPont (DD.N) raised its full-year profit and revenue forecasts and breezed past first-quarter expectatio­ns on Tuesday, boosted by demand from chip companies as well as a recovery in automobile markets. The company, which makes everything from brake fluid to fabric used in protective garments, is benefiting from a recovery in demand from the COVID-19 pandemicle­d slump as economies reopen and costs cuts it implemente­d last year to cope with the fallout of the health crisis.

DuPont, once part of the erstwhile chemical giant DowDuPont, said it expects net sales between $15.70 billion and $15.90 billion and adjusted earnings per share in the range of $3.60 to $3.75 for the year ended December 2021. It had previously forecast sales between $15.40 billion and $15.60 billion on earnings of $3.30 to $3.45 per share.

Still, the company warned of a hit from escalating raw material and logistics costs and global supply constraint­s for key raw materials.

DuPont's adjusted earnings per share of 91 cents for the first quarter beat estimates of 76 cents. Sales of $4 billion also surpassed $3.85 billion estimated by analysts, partially helped by strong demand for water filtration technologi­es.

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