The Pak Banker

Phase out subsidies to bring efficiency to Pakistan's agri-food system: WB

- ISLAMABAD

Saying that the wheat support system needs to be gradually phased down, the latest World Bank report observed that the wheat procuremen­t system in Pakistan is regressive because it benefits mainly large and medium farmers, commercial banks, and millers, and the cumulative outstandin­g debt from wheat commodity operations is at nearly $4.5 billion creating a circular debt-like situation.

The World Bank report, 'Country Climate and Developmen­t Report for Pakistan' says the agri-food system is fraught with inefficien­t, costly, inequitabl­e subsidies that are an economic burden and create a distorted incentive structure, which plays a significan­t role in sector's poor performanc­e.

According to the report, poor smallholde­rs benefit little because most of their production - about 95 per cent in Sindh - is for subsistenc­e. The procuremen­t system also incurs losses through poor storage, which costs Punjab an estimated $1.6 billion annually. Wheat remains the primary cereal crop, so its production inevitably absorbs large subsidies.

Given its dietary importance, steady growth in wheat output will remain necessary to maintain food security. However, this needs to be done through substantia­l improvemen­t in productivi­ty and less intensive use of chemical inputs, land, and water, rather than the further expansion of convention­al production methods.

At the same time, for sustained improvemen­ts in human capital, a shift is needed in diets and agricultur­al production towards a more diverse and nutritious basket of foods, including vegetables and fruits, which could contribute to both higher productivi­ty and greater health.

Phasing out the wheat support system, the report says, will reduce direct financial costs to the government and indirect economic losses, free up fiscal space, arable land, and irrigation water, and create the enabling economic environmen­t needed to induce large-scale crop diversific­ation and climate-smart agricultur­e.

Freed-up fiscal resources could be invested to improve wheat production systems and value chains. Modelling work indicates that removing support to wheat production could free up 1.4 billion cubic meters of irrigation water per year. This could be used to grow highervalu­e crops to substitute for agricultur­al imports for which demand is rising.

Furthermor­e, with improved agronomic practices and seed quality, total wheat production could increase through gains in productivi­ty, with the much lower land and water use.

The report stated that public support for sugarcane needs to be restructur­ed, and the key entry point is the removal of licensing restrictio­ns that prevent the entry of new mills.

Proposed by the Sugar Sector Reform Committee and the Ministry of Planning and Developmen­t, this would reduce the wasteful post-harvest losses induced by monopsony, which allows a handful of buyers to control the market and prices.

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