The Pak Banker

Inequaliti­es may rise due to inflation, caution experts

- ISLAMABAD

Speakers at a consultati­ve meeting, experts have warned the government that the highest-ever inflation may lead to widening inequality in Pakistan and urged for evidenceba­sed monetary policy to ensure economic justice.

Keynote speaker Mirco Günther, Head of Friedrich Ebert Stiftung (Asia & Pacific), said that think tanks can play a vital role in the formulatio­n of a monetary policy that may support government­s in the provision of social and economic justice.

He was speaking at a consultati­ve meeting titled, "Evidence-based Advocacy on Policies for Economic Justice and Deve lopment", organised by SDPI and Friedrich Ebert Stiftung (FES). Mr Günther warned that Pakistan has been confronted with inflation for a long time, which may lead to higher inequaliti­es.

He also stressed the need for aligning price stability to thrive socioecono­mic justice in society.

SDPI Deputy Executive Director Dr Sajid Amin presenting the findings of the report, "Monetary Policy for All", suggested that SBP should set 5pc inflation target for the next few years as lowering inflation targets without proportion­al wage increase shrinks purchasing power of the common person and hinder economic justice.

He further suggested maintainin­g less than 5pc inflation target for the informal sector as it is more vulnerable to economic shocks. He recommende­d improving the regulatory framework of commercial banks for increasing financial inclusion as 92pc of their operations are centered around bigger investors, which leads to higher informal borrowing.

He highlighte­d various future endeavours to bring social impacts of monetary policy including quarterly social justice watch, presenting flagship reports on policies for economic justice and scaling up this work to the regional level.

Ali Kemal, Chief of SDGs Support Unit, Ministry of Planning Deve lopment & Special Initiative­s, said that interest rate is "the income of capitalist­s" and social inequaliti­es are exacerbate­d by interest rate hikes as it contribute­s to inflation and stressed aligning inflation targets for social justice in fiscal policy after consultati­on with the central bank rather than solely based on political interests.

He emphasised increasing financial services for Small and Medium Enterprise­s (SMEs) through commercial banks and tapping the potential of digital currency which is neglected in Pakistan.

Executive Director SDPI Dr Abid Q. Suleri, warned of the impacts of the triple-C crisis on countries like Pakistan which according to him will be compounded by energy inflation.

In this case, he said, economic inequaliti­es will increase, and energy will either be inaccessib­le or unaffordab­le.

He called upon the government to come up with evidence-based policy solutions to provide economic relief to the public while at the same time satisfying the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund.

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