The Pak Banker

Stock markets mixed as global rally peters out

- HONG KONG

Markets were mixed Monday as traders struggled to maintain momentum after a global surge, though the loosening of China's Covid rules and plans to help its property sector helped Hong Kong extend its rally.

Equities rocketed last week and the dollar sank after data showed US price rises eased in October, providing the Federal Reserve with room to take its foot off the pedal in tightening monetary policy. The news led some commentato­rs to suggest a feared recession in the world's top economy could be shallower than first feared, or might be averted entirely.

The optimistic mood was given an extra injection late Friday by news that Beijing would relax some of its strict Covid-19 restrictio­ns, a day after officials vowed to stick to their zero-tolerance strategy that has hammered growth. Authoritie­s have also reportedly unveiled a 16-point plan to support the beleaguere­d property sector, a major component of the country's sprawling economy.

The industry has come under immense pressure since China imposed a number of restrictio­ns in 2020 aimed at reeling in debt, with major developers teetering on the brink of collapse. The news indicates the leadership is beginning to focus on supporting the economy, a crucial driver of global growth.

"It's a meaningful easing," said Larry Hu of Macquarie Group.

"It seems that the room for policy change has widened on various fronts after the Party Congress (last month), including for the two major headwinds to the Chinese economy: Covid Zero and property." Nomura's Lu Ting said the support for the developers was "the most crucial pivot since Beijing significan­tly tightened financing of the property sector".

"We believe these measures demonstrat­e that Beijing is willing to reverse most of its financial tightening measures," he added.

"Those cash-strapped developers (especially private ones), constructi­on companies, mortgage borrowers and other related stakeholde­rs can now breathe a sigh of relief."

He warned, however, that the sector continued to struggle and the "measures may have little direct impact on stimulatin­g home purchases".

Hong Kong ended more than one percent higher-having soared more than seven percent Friday-though morning gains were tempered as the day wore on. Still, property firms were the best performers with Country Garden leading the way with a massive 40 percent jump.

Singapore, Taipei and Manila also rose, but profit-taking weighed elsewhere. Tokyo, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Mumbai, Jakarta and Wellington retreated.

London, Paris and Frankfurt opened higher.

While the mood has lightened after the US inflation read, there is still a sense of trepidatio­n among traders who fear the Federal Reserve will continue to lift borrowing costs while analysts warn last week's rally may have been overdone.

"It was always clear that it would be easy to bring inflation down from 910 percent to 4-5 percent," said SPI Asset Management's Stephen Innes.

"Pushing it back to two percent could be much more complicate­d and require higher rates for longer. Hence, the central bank fight is far from over. But for now and until an indication of inflation proves stickier than expected, risk-on could roll on a bit further."

Still, the yen, pound and euro held most of their gains against the dollar, which came in reaction to the consumer price index reading.

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