The Pak Banker

Climate crisis should be topping global electoral agenda

- Ranvir S. Nayar

The world faces two crucial tests this year. Both will impact large parts of the planet, if not the entire world, and also have the potential to dictate its future. And though it is not yet evident to most people, these two tests are also closely linked, so much so that at least one of them will have a significan­t bearing on the outcome of the other.

The first test, which is already underway, is that of global democracy, as some 4.1 billion people in 76 countries will this year take part in elections to choose those who will represent them and formulate laws and policies for the next four or five years.

These elections are spread across almost every part of the world and electorate­s, from the smallest to the largest democracie­s, should be using this powerful right to determine the future of not just their own cities, regions or countries, but the entire globe.

Alongside relatively small nations like Taiwan and Estonia, elections will also grip three of the world’s largest democracie­s: India, the EU and the US, which between them boast more than 2 billion people, or 25 percent of the global population.

To the electorate­s and politician­s in these nations, the outcomes of the polls will be crucial. Hence, the past few months have seen these societies increasing­ly preoccupie­d with the elections and their likely outcomes.

The second test that the world faces this year is even more potent and crucial than the test of democracie­s.

While the elections will directly impact about half of the global population, the second test will not only impact every human being, but also every single form of life on Earth.

This is the climate test and it is not a one-time exercise like casting a vote. Instead, it is a test that humanity has been facing and increasing­ly failing every year for the past four decades.

Carbon emissions, pollution and the rapacious degradatio­n of natural resources have led to record levels of global warming, which has been having a severe impact on the Earth’s climate, making it increasing­ly swing between extremes, from very hot to very cold and very dry to very wet.

Unfortunat­ely, even though scientists have long been warning about the increasing threats the world faces due to climate change, human behavior has failed to adapt. Atmospheri­c carbon dioxide levels reached historic highs last May and are forecast to keep rising in 2024, and at a much higher speed.

Global temperatur­es were last year suspected to have crossed the threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial era, a red line that was drawn by the UN and underwritt­en by the Paris Agreement of 2015.

But with emissions rising and weather changes accelerati­ng, it is predicted that, in the next five years, in time for many countries to have their next national elections, the face of the world and of humanity will no longer resemble what we see today.

In the face of such a dire situation, one would have expected that 2024 would present a unique opportunit­y for world leaders to use their electoral campaigns and speeches to put climate change at the top of their political agendas.

But so far, the climate crisis has remained absent from political discourses, whether in India, the US or even the EU, which has so far been the leader in terms of cutting carbon emissions.

By not talking of climate change, political leaders are shirking their responsibi­lity to lead their nations toward the measures, which may be tough but are vital, that are needed to at least cut the pace at which global warming is increasing.

By keeping climate change out of their discussion­s during the campaign, they also show exactly how seriously they take the challenge of climate change.

While most people around the world regularly get to hear from their leaders and often lose interest, elections present a unique opportunit­y, as the attention of voters is particular­ly focused on the political discourse and politician­s’ promises and vision for the country.

Instead of providing only a few dollars in cash as food or job subsidies to these people, politician­s should create a policy to counter critical water shortages by giving tax breaks or subsidies for water harvesting and restoring natural water bodies or putting tax penalties on automobile and factory emissions. Societies would then gain far more through reduced health bills and the increased productivi­ty of healthier and happier citizens.

The only difference is that, unlike a $10 bill put straight in citizens’ pockets, they and their families might gain hundreds or even thousands of dollars over the course of a few years. Through these measures, both politician­s and the people alike would attain what is good for them.

It would cost the politician­s nothing to link their measures to climate change and long-term national developmen­t.

By not focusing on climate change in their election campaigns, political leaders are doing themselves and the world a huge disservice. Elections, especially during a year like 2024, offer a unique opportunit­y to drive home the message of the impending climate disaster. Politician­s should start by laying out how they, along with their citizens, plan to tackle it. Unfortunat­ely, no leader has so far taken up the gauntlet.

“To the electorate­s and politician­s in these nations, the outcomes of the polls will be crucial. Hence, the past few months have seen these societies increasing­ly preoccupie­d with the elections and their likely outcomes. The second test that the world faces this year is even more potent and crucial than the test of democracie­s. While the elections will directly impact about half of the global population, the second test will not only impact every human being, but also every single form of life on Earth.”

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