Business World

External trade continues slump in June as coronaviru­s pandemic drags on

- Jobo E. Hernandez

THE COUNTRY’S exports and imports continued to plunge, albeit at a slower pace in June, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) reported on Wednesday.

Merchandis­e exports shrank by 13.3% to $5.33 billion in June after a 26.9% yearly decline in May, preliminar­y trade data from the PSA showed.

Likewise, merchandis­e imports fell 24.5% to $6.63 billion in June, slower than the 40.6% plunge recorded in May.

June marked the fourth straight month of decline for exports and 14th straight month of downturn for merchandis­e imports.

Trade deficit in June was recorded at $1.30 billion, smaller than the $2.64-billion gap in the same month last year.

For the first half, exports were down 17.8% to $28.43 billion, worse than the -4% expected by the Developmen­t Budget Coordinati­on Committee (DBCC) this year

Meanwhile, the merchandis­e import bill dropped 29% to $39.03 billion on a cumulative basis against the DBCC’s target of a 5.5% contractio­n for the year.

That brought the year-to-date trade balance to a $10.60-billion deficit, smaller than the $20.42-billion shortfall in the same six months last year.

In a statement released by the National Economic and Developmen­t Authority (NEDA), the continued decline in merchandis­e exports can be partly due to “demand factors,” particular­ly the economic performanc­e of the country’s main trading partners amid the pandemic.

“With restricted mobility and economic activity due to the global pandemic, GDP (gross domestic product) growth is negatively affected. Our major trading partners’ GDP has declined in the second quarter of the year, resulting in a reduced appetite for imported goods. This has led to lower demand for Philippine exports,” Acting Socioecono­mic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua was quoted in the NEDA statement as saying.

Export of manufactur­ed goods, which account for around 82.7% of the total exports in June, slipped 13.6% year on year to $4.41 billion from $5.10 billion last year. Total agro-based products were also down 18.1% to $403.51 million in June from $492.50 million previously.

Electronic products, which made up more than half of the total June export sales, contracted by 10.4% to $3.18 billion. Semiconduc­tors, which account for more than three-fourths of electronic products, also slid by 8.1% to $2.44 billion.

On the import side, raw materials and intermedia­te goods, which account for 42.9% of the imports bill in June, declined by 10.7% to $2.85 billion.

“This slower decline in the country’s trade performanc­e signals the resumption of economic activities,” NEDA’s Mr. Chua said.

Even so, external trade is expected to contribute negatively to economic growth in the second quarter.

“[Second-quarter] GDP performanc­e is expected to be worse than [first-quarter GDP]... mainly due to the pandemic. The decline in merchandis­e exports is a contributi­ng factor to the decline, which is also caused by the pandemic,” John Paolo R. Rivera, Asian Institute of Management economist and adjunct faculty, said in an email. —

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