Oil prices slide 4% on Shanghai lockdowns, US interest rate hike

NEW YORK — Oil slumped about 4% on Monday to its lowest in two weeks on growing worries about the global energy demand outlook due to prolonged coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) lockdowns in Shanghai and potential increases in US interest rates.

“The prospect of slower economic growth this year amid US interest rate hikes... has already led to a downward revision of oildemand forecasts,” analysts at the Eurasia Group consultancy said, noting “The longer the Ukraine war and the China lockdowns persist, the higher the risk that demand growth will be even weaker.”

Shanghai’s COVID-19 lockdown misery dragged into a fourth week, as orders for mass testing in Beijing’s biggest district sparked fears that the Chinese capital could be destined for a similar fate.

Brent futures fell $4.33 or 4.1% to settle at $102.32 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $3.53 or 3.5% to settle at $98.54.

Both benchmarks closed at their lowest since April 11 after losing nearly 5% last week. Since soaring to their highest since 2008 in early March, prices have collapsed by about 25%.

That retreat prompted US speculators to cut their net long futures and options positions last week to the lowest since April 2020.

Open interest in WTI futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange last week to its lowest since July 2016, while daily futures volume dropped to its lowest so far this year.

Also pressuring oil, the US dollar rose to a two-year high against a basket of other currencies on the likelihood of US interest rate hikes. A strong dollar makes oil more expensive for other currency holders.

Oil gained support earlier in the year from tight supplies after Russia’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine caused customers to avoid Russian oil due to Western sanctions.

The EU is preparing “smart sanctions” against Russian oil imports, according to a report in The Times of London that cited the EC’s executive vice-president, Valdis Dombrovskis.

US gasoline futures, meanwhile, slid less than crude, putting the gasoline crack spread — a measure of refining profit margins — at its highest since hitting a record in April 2020 when WTI settled in negative territory.

In the United States, which will reopen its embassy in Ukraine soon, officials said domestic oil and gas production is rising and will continue to rise to make up for the 1 million to 1.5 million barrels of oil per day that has been pulled off the market after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. —