Manila Bulletin

Asian stocks suffer fresh losses, further volatility seen likely

- By DANNY MCCORD

HONG KONG (AFP) – Chinese stocks sank again Monday as uncertaint­y over US interest rates revived fears of a broader global economic slowdown that has rocked the world's financial markets.

Analysts warned of further gyrations following a rollercoas­ter ride last week, with investors shifting into safe-haven assets such as the yen and gold, while oil sagged.

In a bid to settle investors' nerves, Beijing on Monday paraded a financial journalist ''confessing'' to causing ''great losses'' during recent market turbulence.

State broadcaste­r CCTV showed Wang Xiaolu, a journalist with the respected business magazine Caijing, saying he had sought to create a stir and catch the eyes of readers with his articles.

The ministry of public security also said at the weekend that 197 people had been punished for ''spreading online rumours'' on several issues, including the markets and giant deadly blasts in the port of Tianjin two weeks ago, but gave scant details.

But while initial stock market falls of more than three percent were pared, Shanghai slipped 1.25 percent in late trade.

The index plunged more than 16 percent from Monday to Wednesday before bouncing 10 percent in the next two sessions.

The rebound came after Beijing cut the cost of borrowing -- its fifth interest rate reduction since November -- in a bid to pump up the country's economy, which is a key driver of global growth.

The swings in China -- which has seen Shanghai lose about 40 percent since hitting a June 12 high -- have fuelled concerns that Beijing is struggling to get a grip on its economic slowdown.

Analysts say China needs to rebalance its economy so that it relies more on consumer demand and less on lavish state spending.

A successful transition is seen as crucial for the worldwide economy, which depends on China as an engine of growth.

On Friday, credit rating agency Moody's slashed its 2016 growth forecast for leading G20 economies to 2.8 percent from 3.1 percent, predicting contractio­ns in Brazil and Russia and lower demand for manufactur­ed goods in Korea and Japan due to problems in China.

Comments from US Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer at the weekend that left open the possibilit­y of a September hike in interest rates have added to nervousnes­s.

The historical­ly low US interest rates of recent years have fuelled investment in global stock markets because they have made it cheap to borrow money for speculatio­n.

A rise would likely tamp down that appetite.

In a speech at a conference on monetary policy in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, the Fed's number two said the bank will not wait for US inflation to hit two percent before tightening policy.

''The change in the circumstan­ces which began with the Chinese devaluatio­n is relatively new and we are still watching how it unfolds. So I wouldn't want to go ahead and decide right now,'' he later said in a CNBC interview.

Nader Naeimi, head of dynamic asset allocation at AMP Capital Investors in Sydney, told Bloomberg News: ''We are going to continue to see volatility.

''The Fed is aware of the market volatility and you wouldn't have thought they would be raising rates into market turmoil.

''But at the same time, data coming out of the US has been surprising­ly resilient and strong. It's very difficult for the Fed.''

Traders, fearing further losses, switched into safer investment­s. The dollar fell to 121.05 yen, from 121.52 yen in New York, while gold traded at $1,134.37, against $1,127.82 late Friday.

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