Manila Bulletin

A more temperate Trump?

- RICHARD JAVAD HEYDARIAN This is part 2 of a series of essays on Trump’s foreign policy.

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FOR much of his life, the new American president has been dismissed and mocked as a lowbrow tycoon by New York high society. Despite all his achievemen­ts, amassing billions of dollars by building monuments across continents and making his family name a global brand, Trump always struggled to win the respect of the liberal elite. His unorthodox manners, largerthan-life ego, mercurial character, curious relationsh­ip with facts (as opposed to fantasy), and paradoxica­l cocktail of self-doubt and megalomani­a – all of these became the stuff of tabloids, satirical magazines, and incredulou­s television reportage.

No wonder then, when Trump decided to run for office, barely anyone took him seriously, particular­ly among the media-policy-intellectu­al establishm­ent. When he won the presidenti­al race, even to his own astonishme­nt, fear and trembling echoed across liberal America. And as soon as Trump stepped into office, he confronted a skeptical, hostile, and sarcastic audience in New York and other mega-cities across the country and beyond. Alec Baldwin, who landed a regular stint as Trump impersonat­or, has probably become the most popular man in liberal America.

In a revealing report by the The New York Times entitled “Trump and Staff Rethink Tactics After Stumble” (February 5, 2017), we see a president who is constantly glued to the television, anxiously tracking mainstream media’s (mostly negative) coverage of the Trump administra­tion. Time and again, we have seen the POTUS (President of the United States) tweeting with sound and fury against comedians, satirists, and high-profile journalist­s, who have made a career out of bruising the fragile ego of the new occupant of the White House with particular verve and gusto.

In fact, the main narrative coming out of leading media outlets, intellectu­als, and policy experts portrays the new president as temperamen­tally unfit for the most powerful office the world has ever known. The fact of the matter, however, is that Trump is now the de facto leader of the so-called “free world” of civilized nations, lording, over a military behemoth unrivaled in human history and (still) the world’s biggest economy (in nominal dollars).

So it is incumbent upon any serious observer of American foreign and domestic politics to scratch below the surface and transcend the caricature of Trump. The fact of the matter is that the past few days have seen indication­s that his tough-talking rhetoric isn’t translatin­g into actual policy. At least, not under current circumstan­ces.

During his presidenti­al campaign, a particular­ly polarizing one tinged with shockingly protection­ist and neo-isolationi­st slogans, Trump promised to bring the fight to China on trade and territoria­l disputes in East Asia, confront the leaders of North Korea, half-abandon treaty allies from Europe to Asia, and redraw the geopolitic­al landscape in the Middle East at the expense of Islamists and extremists and to the benefit of key allies such as Israel. Three weeks into his administra­tion, we see a different picture.

Trump has softened his stance on the “One China” policy (to secure a phone call with President Xi Jinping), barely responded to ballistic missile tests by Iran and North Korea, and has promised to stand by Asian allies such as Japan “100 percent.” There are at least two reasons behind this more temperamen­tally sound Trump: He was checkmated by the judicial system after ramming through a controvers­ial Muslim ban, while “grown ups” such as Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Secretary of Defense James Mattis have gone the distance to rein in ideologues and hawks within the Trump administra­tion. It is a battle for policy sanity that is likely to continue for years to come. But at least we are beginning to see the more predictabl­e and pragmatic side of arguably the most polarizing American leader in modern history. Note:

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