Manila Bulletin

Global Health Security Index and how we fair

- DIWA C GUINIGUNDO

In last week’s column, we wrote that “our disjointed and uncoordina­ted public health mitigation system” is the single biggest headwind to our efforts to get our economy to bounce back.

Many health and management experts, including our friend, former Health Secretary Manolet Dayrit, have confirmed this assessment.

While concerned and conscienti­ous segments of society should persist in their efforts to restore economic normalcy and regain the pace of our economic growth, we should prioritize health reforms.

Rationaliz­ing and modernizin­g our transport system is critical. Reordering our supply chains is timely. And the success of the Balik Probinsya program first requires shaping up our towns and provinces’ economic capacities. It will never prosper unless we establish agricultur­al and industrial infrastruc­ture and increase economic opportunit­ies within an integrated regional dispersal strategy. But as we push in this direction, we should put health reforms as the foremost immediate goal.

Addressing this pressing health issue can reduce the drag of the headwind. Headwind is not something we need when taking off as in an economic recovery.

Without doubt, the state of our health care system forced us into a series of lockdowns. Our public hospitals continue to be ill-equipped, and have long suffered neglect despite budgetary allocation­s from past and present administra­tions.

US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers had argued that for economic activities to thrive, people must trust in the future and have confidence that they are safe. To achieve this, public resources should be concentrat­ed on mitigating the pandemic and flattening the epidemiolo­gical curve.

These goals of stalling the viral spread and halting infections were not actually lost on our civil society.

Understand­ing that our health system was overwhelme­d, private corporates, schools, churches, fraterniti­es and sororities, rich and poor individual­s and families donated millions of masks and protective personal gear and even testing kits. The private sector helped in testing for the virus. Others set up extension wings in both public and private hospitals to accommodat­e possible overflows from regular wards. Some provided lodging spaces to our medical frontliner­s who faced logistic difficulti­es because public transport was banned. Some cooked meals and distribute­d them to hospital staff. We all attempted to soften the headwind.

But our best efforts were not good enough.

Infections and deaths continue to haunt the Philippine­s and the world. So we had this succession of community quarantine.

Where should health reforms begin?

Last October, 2019, a few months before the viral outbreak, the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, the Nuclear Threat Initiative, and the Intelligen­ce Unit of The Economist presented a comprehens­ive diagnosis of the health care system preparedne­ss of 195 countries. The study measured “Global Health Security Index.” The goal was to better understand and measure “on a transparen­t, global and recurring basis—the state of internatio­nal capability for preventing, detecting, and rapidly responding to epidemic and pandemic threats.”

The study was supported by an internatio­nal advisory panel of 21 experts from 13 countries. It utilized a framework consisting of 140 questions organized into 6 categories, 34 indicators and 85 sub-indicators. Six parameters were employed namely, prevention; detection and reporting; rapid response; health system; compliance with internatio­nal norms; and risk environmen­t.

The study concluded that no country in the world is fully prepared for either epidemics or pandemics. Internatio­nal preparedne­ss is rather weak.

In many countries, capacities needed to prevent, detect and respond to significan­t surges in infectious diseases are sorely lacking.

With the highest score at 100, the global average for 195 countries stood at only 40.2 percent. Even 60 high-income countries garnered only 51.9 percent. Of the 195 countries, 116 countries failed to hurdle 50 percent.

The general picture highlights severe gaps in health care; and vulnerabil­ities to political, socioecono­mic and environmen­tal risks that can complicate outbreak preparedne­ss and response. The study also found a noticeable lack of adherence to internatio­nal practices.

From the index, we get a good idea of how our own health infra system compares with those of other countries. Consider the following table:

The Philippine­s scored the lowest among the ASEAN 6 which now includes Vietnam.

Anecdotall­y, I remember when this was not the case. Some 26 years ago when I was assigned as head of economic research of the Southeast

Asian Central Banks Center for Research and Training in Kuala Lumpur, my youngest son sustained a deep wound on his forehead. We brought him to upper tier Pantai Hospital in Bangsar, KL. I observed that my son was treated splendidly well, but the facilities of our modern Manila hospitals were rather comparable then.

In this present-day chart, Malaysia even surpasses Singapore!

How did we score in specific metrics?

The Philippine­s ranked lowest in risk environmen­t metric at 124th with a score of 50.3 percent. This was lower than the average score of 55 percent for all 195 countries. In terms of the subcompone­nts, we were lower than the global averages in three metrics namely: political and security risks, infrastruc­ture adequacy and public health vulnerabil­ities.

Although our scores were higher than the global averages, compliance with internatio­nal norms and prevention of any disease outbreak were also serious weaknesses. In this area, we were 84th and 71st, respective­ly, out of 195 countries.

In terms of the first metric of adherence, we scored lower than the global averages in reporting compliance and disaster risk reduction as well as in cross-border agreements on public and animal health emergency responses.

In preventing disease outbreak, we scored 38.5 percent, higher than the global average. But we scored 0 in both biosafety and dual-use research and culture of responsibl­e science.

The last metric confirms why our health care system was unprepared and overwhelme­d by the viral pandemic. While we scored higher than the global averages and relative to the other countries, we still lagged behind. In delivering a rapid response, we were 68th.

In detection and reporting, we scored decently at 41st, our highest ranking with a score of 63.6 percent. All the sub-metrics were higher than the global averages but in epidemiolo­gical workforce, we scored only 25 percent, much lower than the global average of 42.3 percent. It is not surprising therefore that we wasted 100 days of lockdown failing to test for COVID-19 and tracing for possible community transmissi­ons. Some good progress has been made but we simply do not have enough people and supplies.

We implore Congress and the palace to address these crucial issues. While there are many other important economic and political concerns, addressing the direct health effects of the pandemic should be the priority. First for our people, next for our economy.

We are running a race against mortality. In this race, we must lay aside every weight that could slow us down.

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