The Manila Times

Making the Filipino dream a reality

- AIM AIM

NUMBERS Global Economic Prospects report in June, it put the 2017 growth outlook for the Philippine­s at just under 7%. That is nearly twice the since the 1980s. It is also higher than the average growth rate over the last six years, which has been just north of 6%.

This optimistic outlook is driven by an expected increase in the Phil investment­s and is also unfazed by and weakened peso. For the most part, this remains believable given what is still a very healthy macro

JAMIL PAOLO FRANCISCO

But while talk of robust economic growth continues to be a popular topic at business clubs and executive boardrooms, most ordinary Filipinos have yet to experience a greater share of this prosperity.

Although there has been a marked decline in poverty incidence, one- fifth of Filipinos remain “poor.” Many more are considered “near-poor”; that is, they slip in and out of poverty when hit by external shocks such as job loss, natural calamities, family crises.

And while unemployme­nt (5.7% in April) continues to post new historic lows, labor force exclusion, underemplo­yment and in-work poverty persist because of sub-optimal market arrangemen­ts and informalit­y. (The infamous “endo” or end-of-contract scheme comes to mind.)

Filipinos have long anticipate­d the promise of a demographi­c dividend, similar to the experience of the Asian Tigers. In short, when labor force swells relative to its dependents, there is a rapid rise

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