The Manila Times

Creating something from nudging

- ANDREW DOWD

GUI hangs up his cellphone. An inexorable grin stretches across his face. He has just been told that he had won the lottery. Yet this was no convention­al jackpot. He did not defy odds even greater than being struck by lightning. In fact, Gui is one of tens of thousands of people in China that have fapiao, or a receipt lottery, - ment in 1998.

Fapioa’s aim is to encourage consumers to ask for receipts when purchasing a good or service. This has the effect of making complying sellers meet such a request. Income is declared from the sale in the process. Including a hidden number on a receipt, all in the hope of securing a reward, may seem deceptivel­y of the scheme garnered a 10.4% increase in tax revenue and brought many businesses into the formal economy. This is good news for a country where 13% of GDP is largely off the record. A modest nudge in behavior made stark changes.

In the Philippine­s, 38% of the total working population is part of the informal sector. Bringing them into the formal economy has proven extremely of losing out to competitor­s. However, taking these people into the formal sector is hugely important to the overall health of a functionin­g economy. revenue to accelerate infrastruc­ture spending and improving much-needed social protection.

These issues are listed as high priority in the current administra­tion’s socioecono­mic and legislativ­e agenda and

convention­al in nature. Traditiona­lly, there have been three main approaches for getting groups or individual­s to move from option A to option B ( with option B presumably being a more desirable outcome in the aggregate): imposing regulation­s and restrictio­ns, using incentives, and trying to inform, educate and persuade. Undoubtedl­y, implementi­ng reforms through traditiona­l means is important. Yet these are often tremendous­ly time- consuming, execute. They also often fail.

Another option is the use of nudging. Nudging is the means of subtly swaying people’s behavior with the aim of improving collective outcomes. It has come evermore popular in recent years, helped by the contributi­ons of a wave of psychologi­sts and behavioral economists. Most notable of these is Richard Thaler, the most in Economics.

Nudging uses positive reinforcem­ent and indirect suggestion­s, like that found in motives and decisions. Understand­ing how people think and behave creates an opportunit­y for government and private bodies to generate change and stimulate the transforma­tion of traditiona­lly intractabl­e habits.

The example of fapiao is not in isolation and the idea of nudging is not new. Cass Sunstein, co-author to Thaler’s best-selling book Nudge, quipped, “In Genesis, Satan nudged, and Eve did - proaches have been applied across all corners of the globe. Similar lotteries have been introduced in

Firms have long looked at behavioral science to shape their customers’ behavior, primarily through marketing and sales techniques. Government­s have now begun to do the same. In 2010, Thaler ad- vised the British government on the creation of the Behavioral Insights Team. Just one example of their success is in relation to enrolment in pension schemes. Automatica­lly opting people in to contributi­ons, as opposed to requiring people to sign up, caused active membership to rise from 2.7 million in 2012 to 7.7 million in 2016. In the United States, people were directly asked to privately plan the date and time of their appointmen­t to receive a vaccine. This prompted vaccinatio­ns to rise by 4.2%, generating 12.8 additional vaccines for every $100 spent on the program. It is estimated that 51 countries now have “centrally di by behavioral sciences.

The Philippine­s should be quick to follow suit. Too many slowmoving regulation­s and education programs have been tried and failed. The country’s biggest problems can potentiall­y be surmounted, or at least diminished, by paying closer attention to how people think and behave.

The possibilit­ies are vast. Corruption is rife. Follow Nigeria’s direction, where simply changing the way health records are designed has led to less money being pinched. Saving rates are too low. Automatica­lly opt people in to saving schemes, like in the UK. Filipinos are becoming increasing­ly unhealthy. Encourage companies take-out containers. Google has done this to great effect.

Nudging is not suited for all cases and can be used for both good and bad. Ensuring success necessitat­es careful reflection, experiment­ation and iteration. Thread carefully. But the potential rewards are worth it. Andrew Dowdis a graduate of Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. He is a business analystat First Circle, a fintech startup on a missing to improvebus­iness opportunit­ies in the Philippine­s. Todiscuss how First Circle can help business with finance visit - www.firstcircl­e.ph or contact Andrew at Andrew.dowd@firststyle.com

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