The Manila Times

Putin playing the nuclear card

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DURING an interview with CNN earlier this week, Dmitry Peskov, the spokesman for Russian President Vladimir Putin, gave broad hints that Russia will not hesitate to use nuclear weapons in achieving its military goals in Ukraine.

Peskov said Putin would consider a nuclear response if Russia is confronted with an “existentia­l threat.” The spokesman never fully explained what constitute­s an existentia­l threat, but the message was chilling enough to elicit internatio­nal concern, particular­ly from the Pentagon, which described it as “dangerous.”

“It’s not the way a responsibl­e nuclear power should act,” the Pentagon spokesman added.

Some observers speculate that Putin is playing the nuclear card because the Russian invasion of Ukraine has not been the juggernaut it was perceived to be. Four weeks into the war, the Russian offensive appears to have been stalled by fierce Ukrainian resistance. The invaders have shifted tactics by keeping key cities under constant bombardmen­t, not wanting to suffer heavy casualties during a direct assault. The wanton artillery and missile barrage has killed or wounded hundreds of civilians and triggered a humanitari­an tragedy.

What exactly are Putin’s objectives in attacking Ukraine? The Russian leader had initially told the Russian people he wanted to demilitari­ze and “de-Nazify” Ukraine, assertions that have questionab­le credibilit­y. Peskov provides a clearer picture, saying that aside from militarily castrating Ukraine, Putin wants to convert it into a “neutral country,” and for Kyiv to accept the independen­ce of two Russian-leaning regions.

In pursuit of these goals, Putin is ready to dust off Russia’s nuclear arsenal and prep it for action, that is what his spokesman wishes to convey. And that decision could push the world to the brink of a nuclear war.

In 1970, 191 countries signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferat­ion Treaty, a landmark pact meant to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons, promote cooperatio­n in harnessing nuclear energy to peaceful uses and bringing the world closer to nuclear disarmamen­t.

The treaty was hailed as an effective deterrent to mutual assured destructio­n, or MAD, the Cold War dread of the US and the Soviet Union launching enough nuclear missiles at each other, resulting in apocalypti­c devastatio­n.

The treaty, however, only forbade the further production of nuclear arms, and allowed countries with existing nuclear arsenals to keep a limited number of weapons for defensive purposes.

As an added safeguard, the Internatio­nal Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) was establishe­d to conduct inspection­s to ensure that a country does not divert the fissile material it produces for weapons use.

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