Asian markets mixed as China’s Covid worries grow
Growing fears about China’s latest Covid-19 outbreak on Tuesday rattled investors, who fear that authorities would revert to highly restrictive containment measures that have already dealt a chilling blow to the world’s secondlargest economy this year.
After starting November with a rally, thanks to easing inflation concerns and signs that China was edging toward a looser approach to containing the respiratory disease, the optimism has been given a massive jolt after the East Asian country announced its first Covid-19 deaths in six months.
Case numbers have surged across China, with residents in the capital Beijing worried that a record number of new infections would lead to lockdown measures similar to those seen earlier in the year in Shanghai, which lasted for months.
The flare-ups came just a week after China said it would begin rolling back some of the strict Covid rules that have been in place since the pandemic started in early 2020, even as the rest of the world has moved on.
Analysts said the latest developments highlight the long road ahead for China in emerging from the crisis as President Xi Jinping sticks solidly to a zero-Covid strategy that is widely blamed for the country’s economic troubles.
“Risk sentiment has been under pressure on questions around China reopening,” SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes said.
“Some investors are convinced that China’s reopening is a formality and will be catalyzed by the [World Health Organization] downgrading Covid to an endemic [disease],” he added. “We know that China’s reopening will be laced with fits and starts as the twostep-forward-one-step-back routine becomes the norm.”
Hong Kong, which rose more than 10 percent higher in a three-day surge earlier this month, fell for a fifth straight day, while Seoul closed also lower, along with Wellington, Bangkok and Jakarta.
Still, there were gains in Tokyo, Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore, Taipei, Manila and Mumbai.
London and Paris rose, but Frankfurt fell. That came after a drop on Wall Street, where trading was lighter than usual, owing to the Thanksgiving break at the end of the week.
Wednesday sees the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) most recent policy meeting, which will be pored over for insight into officials’ thinking against the backdrop of four-decade-high inflation and signs of a slowing economy.
Hopes that the US central bank would begin to take its foot off the pedal were boosted earlier this month by figures showing that inflation slowed more than expected, suggesting a series of hikes were beginning to bite.
Still, several members of the Fed’s top brass have warned against getting carried away and said more increases were needed to get on top of prices.
But JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Marko Kolanovic said markets would likely stumble into the new year and only pick up once the Fed takes a more dovish stance on borrowing costs.
JPMorgan saw risk assets to trade “rangebound with a more pronounced downside risk.”