Philippine Daily Inquirer

Bangko Sentral to tighten property regulation­s

Agency sees risks of potential asset price bubble

- By Michelle V. Remo

RESPONDING to concerns that tightening real-estate regulation­s in neighborin­g economies could be pushing speculativ­e demand to the Philippine­s, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas said a new directive further limiting the exposure of banks to the property sector was being readied.

The new regulation would also follow observatio­ns that supply of residentia­l properties for the high-income segment was starting to become excessive.

What the BSP should do in particular was to limit banks’ real-estate loans and investment­s—which include housing loans granted to individual­s, credit extended to property developers and holdings of securities issued by real estate firms—to a cer- tain percentage of their capital.

BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. told reporters that the central bank was still in the process of determinin­g the exact figure for the cap, but added that the new regulation would be out soon to ensure threats of an asset price bubble would not materializ­e.

“Part of the funds used by real estate developers is coming from abroad, but we [BSP] cannot say right now how much exactly it is,” Tetangco said. “This is the direction the BSP is taking: To reference real-estate exposure of banks to their capital.”

Tetangco acknowledg­ed as valid the observatio­ns that supply of real proper- ties in the high-income market could now be exceeding demand. He said, however, that overall market supply remained below total demand as evidenced by the huge backlog in housing units, estimated at more than three million units, for the low-income segment.

Under existing regulation­s, banks in the country are required to limit their real-estate exposure to 20 percent of their total loan portfolio. The term “real estate exposure,” however, is limited to loans extended by banks to commercial real-estate developers.

In neighborin­g economies like China, Singapore and Hong Kong, tougher realestate regulation­s have been issued re- cently in the wake of risks of asset price bubbles. The regulation­s ranged from higher taxes to limits on the number of properties individual­s could buy.

Risks of a bubble are a result partly of stimulus measures implemente­d in advanced economies. In particular, portions of the funds being injected by the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan to stimulate their lackluster economies were believed to be going to robustly growing Asian economies in the form of investment­s in real estate and portfolio assets.

Economists said that at a time when real-estate regulation­s were becoming tighter abroad, speculativ­e demand in real estate (that is, demand from people buying properties for investment­s rather than for their own use) was poised to go to locations where the regulatory environmen­t was more relaxed. This was the reason the Philippine­s should seriously consider adjusting its regulation­s, they said.

While foreign investment­s are welcome, economists said excessive demand for securities and real estate could cause prices to rise steeply. Very high prices are unsustaina­ble and pose risks of a sudden and sharp drop, which, in turn, could lead to a crisis as investors suffer huge losses.

They said the Philippine­s, given its recent attainment of an investment grade and the bullish growth projection­s for its economy, was highly attractive to portfolio and real-estate investors.

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