Philippine Daily Inquirer

Electronic­s exports seen to rebound

- By Michelle V. Remo

ELECTRONIC­S exports, which have weakened in the past few years, are poised for a recovery in the second half, according to the National Economic and Developmen­t Authority (Neda).

The Neda said it remained optimistic that the country’s exports would grow this year and continue to be led by electronic­s despite the anemic numbers in the first five months.

Citing reports from industry analysts, Economic Planning Secretary and Neda Director General Arsenio Balisacan said there was a good chance that global demand for electronic­s, especially semiconduc­tors, would increase in the coming months as indicated by the gradual buildup of orders.

“Internatio­nal industry analysts see that the semiconduc­tor industry will grow moderately in 2013. This may signal a recovery in the country’s electronic­s exports in the coming months following a series of contractio­ns since December 2012,” Balisacan said in a statement.

The National Statistics Office earlier reported that the Philippine­s’ merchandis­e exports fell 6 percent year on year to $21.09 billion in January to May. Imports for the same period contracted by 3.6 percent to $24.76 billion.

Since a significan­t portion of the country’s imports are inputs used to manufactur­e intermedia­te electronic­s, the leading export earner for the Philippine­s, the contractio­n in imports in the previous months indicated an uncertain outlook among Filipino exporters on global demand.

The anemic global demand has been blamed on the fragile economic conditions of key export

markets, led by industrial­ized countries.

Besides the Philippine­s, other Asian countries posted year-on-year contractio­ns in imports in the first five months of this year. Japan’s imports fell 8.7 percent, Singapore by 4.4 percent, South Korea by 2.8 percent, Indonesia by 1.8 percent and Taiwan by 0.9 percent.

However, Balisacan said that in the case of the Philippine­s, the decline in imports from January to May was partly due to a drop in the prices of the imports and not entirely because of falling volumes.

Balisacan expressed optimism that imports would rise in the months ahead to support the expansion plans of local firms. He cited results of a recent survey conducted by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas on business sentiment showing that many firms in the country intended to expand.

The country’s chief economist added that consumptio­n was seen to sustain its rising trend, giving a lift to imports of consumer goods in the second half.

Meantime, the government earlier said it would support efforts aimed at helping Filipino exporters diversify their products and reduce the heavy dependence on electronic­s, which accounted for about 35 percent of total export receipts.

The government is updating the Philippine Developmen­t Plan for 2010 to 2016. Balisacan said the updated version, which is expected to be completed by the end of this year, would include government programs that aimed at developing other industries besides electronic­s.

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