Philippine Daily Inquirer

Economic recovery and presidenti­al lethargy

- By Amando Doronila

THE PHILIPPINE­S ends 2013, a year plagued by nightmaris­h news, with its political leadership seeking refuge in complacenc­y and short of fresh initiative­s to give impetus to reconstruc­tion plans for typhoon- devastated Eastern Visayas.

As the country enters 2014, the Aquino administra­tion sent out a powerful but cheerless message to the nation: A yearend feelgood report describing 2013 as “a year of challenges” despite the economy

posting “some of the highest growth numbers in Asia.”

The report said it was during the year that “our collective commitment to preserve and to stand shoulder to shoulder enabled us to overcome the trials set before us, thus making the world admire and respect us all themore.”

The report talked about a “remarkable year for the Filipino— one in which “the President showed indomitabl­e will to lead the nation forward” and “where the mandate for change was renewed in the midterm elections.” The report sounded like a preview of 2014.

Obviously. It was out of place in the context of the desolation and humanitari­an tragedy left by Supertypho­on “Yolanda.”

The report highlighte­d the claims of successes of the Aquino administra­tion in the past three years. It was not only irrelevant to the concerns of the Filipino people in the typhoon-devastated communitie­s but it also made President Aquino look more remote and insensitiv­e to the sufferings of the storm survivors.

The report was issued as propaganda to make up for the slow response of the Aquino administra­tion to the death and destructio­n wrought by Yolanda.

It cited the administra­tion’s “successes” —ranging from “spurring economic growth, expanding social services, enhancing peace and security, combating corruption, and institutin­g greater reform in government, as well as to ensuring that our countrymen rise from the rubble of man-made and natural calamities.”

Those were mere platitudes cited in lieu of plans to push the reconstruc­tion of Eastern Visayas.

An administra­tion spokespers­on, who seemed to be speaking of another country, made matters worse when she said in an interview on state-run Radyo ng Bayan: “It has been a year of challenges not only for the administra­tion but also for the Filipino people.”

The spokespers­on went on to say: “It has been a year wherein the foresight and prudence of the President—holding fast to the long-term vision of a more prosperous, stable and dynamicall­y competitiv­e Philippine­s—has been upheld time and again.”

The yearend report said the economy in 2013 “continued its stellar performanc­e, posting some of the highest growth numbers in Asia.”

It cited the old hat that the country received three major credit rating upgrade during the year, followed by approved investment­s totaling P126.5 billion—a case of counting the eggs before they are hatched.

The report claimed a 14.58percent increase in infrastruc­ture spending—an increase, all right, but not big enough to boost economic growth.

The report said the economy posted five consecutiv­e quarters of at least 7-percent gross domestic product growth. For the first three quarters of the year, GDP grew above the government’s target of 6-7 percent.

But the report ignored the finding that the growth had taken place without creating jobs, with the implicatio­n for reducing poverty.

The National Economic and Developmen­t Authority believes GDP growth will still be within target this year and in 2014.

In a press briefing on Dec. 17, Socioecono­mic Planning Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said growth in 2013 would be near 7 percent. In 2014, growth would be within the 6.5-percent to 7.5percent target set in the Philippine Developmen­t Plan.

Balisacan said he expected to implement rapidly the recovery and reconstruc­tion of typhoondev­astated communitie­s to help offset the probable slowdown of the economy in the first quarter due to Yolanda.

In the subsequent quarter, “we should de able to regain to the momentum,” Balisacan said.

Economic growth this year could have reached 7.3 percent to 7.5 percent had not Yolanda struck central Philippine­s, he said.

The impact of the typhoon on agricultur­e would likely slow down the economy’s growth in the first quarter to around 4.1 percent to 5.9 percent, he said.

He said the main growth drivers would be the reconstruc­tion of typhoon-ravaged communitie­s.

The economists are quiet about the impact of presidenti­al initiative­s as a driver of economic growth. The government’s response to calamity is a forbidden topic for public discussion.

The President went up to Baguio for a brief vacation to enable him to organize his initiative­s to give the economy a fresh push.

As of yesterday, asMr. Aquino came down from his retreat, there were no signs that he would launch any plans in the new year.

Is he ready to revitalize the devastated economy with a new found burst of energy?

The problem is that he is struggling to cast off a culture of indolence.

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