Philippine Daily Inquirer

GLOBAL REMITTANCE­S ON THE DECLINE

- By Ben O. de Vera @bendeveraI­NQ

Cash sent by migrants to their home countries declined for the second straight year in 2016, but the Philippine­s bucked the trend and enjoyed strong remittance flows, the World Bank said.

In its April 21 Migration and Remittance­s report, the World Bank said total remittance­s to developing countries last year reached $429 billion, down 2.4 percent from 2015’s $440 billion.

Including flows to high-income countries, global remittance­s also declined 1.2 percent to $575 billion in 2016 from $582 billion in 2015, the World Bank said.

“Low oil prices and weak economic growth in the Gulf Cooperatio­n Council countries and the Russian Federation are taking a toll on remittance flows to South Asia and Central Asia, while weak growth in Europe has reduced flows to North Africa and Sub-Saharan Africa,” the World Bank explained in a statement.

Also, “the decline in remittance­s, when valued in US dollars, was made worse by a weaker euro, British pound and Russian ruble against the US dollar,” the World Bank added.

But in the case of the Philippine­s—with more than a tenth of the over 100 million Filipinos working or living overseas—the World Bank said remittance­s were “buoyant” last year, bucking the decline across the East Asia and Pacific region.

“Remittance­s to the Philip- pines, estimated at around $30 billion, remained resilient, growing by 4.9 percent in 2016 relative to 4.4 percent in 2015,” the World Bank said.

Based on World Bank estimates, remittance­s to the Philippine­s last year were equivalent to 9.6 percent of the gross domestic product.

The Philippine­s was the third biggest recipient of remittance­s in 2016, after India’s $62.7 billion and China’s $61 billion.

In contrast, remittance­s in East Asia and Pacific declined 1.2 percent to $126 billion in 2016, reversing 2015’s 3.8-percent growth.

“For 2017, remittance­s to the [East Asia and Pacific] region are forecast to grow 2.5 percent to $129 billion,” the World Bank said.

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