Those Mini-Edsas

I already wrote about my belief that surveys, even by reputable survey firms have already been compromised. This following the recent surveys that show former dictator Ferdinand Marcos’s son to be the frontrunner. I say the respondents being questioned were the same bunches of pro-President Duterte people. This was why these didn’t reflect the surge of support Vice President Leni Robredo garnered nationwide.

If so, we should take those surveys as reflection of the changes in the preference of Duterte sympathizers. Meaning that what the recent surveys show is that Duterte supporters are shifting their allegiance to FM Jr. But that does not necessarily mean Marcos will win the presidency.

Many Duterte strategists actually thought that Isko Moreno and not FM Jr. had better chances of winning the presidency. But diehard Duterte supporters are apparently not following their lead, which means that many of those who voted for Duterte are flocking to the Marcos camp. But in the overall scheme of things, that doesn’t mean they are still a dominant force in the elections.

Many things have changed from 2016 to now. I instead see in May 2022 what happened in May 2010, when the late Noynoy Aquino ran for president. For one, many Duterte supporters, notably from the middle class, are disillusioned. Secondly, the Left supported Duterte; now they are for Robredo. Thirdly, the same voters’fervor Duterte got in 2016 cannot be found in the Marcos campaign.

Any community organizer worth his or her job description will tell you that it is difficult to gather a big crowd if the issue you are peddling is not popular. The same goes with

could appoint one or let the councils that comprise the district select their representative in the lower chamber of Congress.

However, these suggestions, if these become a reality, could be messy as hell if implemented knowing the nature of Philippine politics: fueled by corruption and patronage and veering toward violence. (Sunnex)