Philippine stocks open lower on election jitters
MANILA— Local equities opened Tuesday with big losses as investors focus on the results of the Philippine presidential elections.
The Philippine Stock Exchange index, a barometer of investor confidence, opened the trading day down 1.89% before plummeting by over 3% forty-minutes later. The broader All Shares index was also in the red.
It was a bloodbath across all sectoral counters. Luis Limlingan of Manila-based brokerage firm Regina Capital said the election results would be one of the major market drivers in the coming days.
“The results of the presidential election will also be in focus for majority of the week,” Limlingan said in a market commentary.
Partial and unofficial election tally shows Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. taking a strong lead in high-stakes election that would set the direction for the economy in the next six years amid the lingering pandemic.
If he emerges as the clear winner, the son and namesake of the late dictator will inherit an economy that is still recovering from its worst crash on record since the twilight years
of Marcos dictatorship in 1984, as well as a government grappling with twin deficits and a heavy debt pile.
A Bloomberg poll of investors and analysts in March showed Marcos’ rival Leni Robredo is the market's most preferred candidate to facilitate economic recovery while Marcos ranked at the near bottom of the poll with just 46 survey points. Several analysts have said Marcos would likely continue the economic reforms and policies implemented by
President Rodrigo Duterte.
But beyond the elections, Limlingan said Asian markets look set to come under pressure on Tuesday “as concerns about a darkening economic outlook sweep across global markets and bolster the dollar.”
The Philippines Statistics Authority will release on Thursday the first quarter gross domestic product data, with the Duterte administration expecting to see the economy back to its pre-crisis level. However, economists said a quickening inflation, if uncontrolled, may spoil the recovery.
"Asian markets are all down today in reaction to the sell off in Wall St overnight. I think the (Marcos) win has already been priced in the market as surveys have been showing his strong win. The focus now for us is to wait for his economic team and the priority agenda for our country," Michael Enriquez, economist at chief investment officer at Sun Life Investment Management and Trust Corp., said.