The Philippine Star

SCHOLAR: US MISJUDGMEN­T ON SOUTH CHINA SEA WILL BE COSTLY

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BEIJING, May 11 (Xinhua) — The United States has misjudged China, its intention and its role in relation to the South China Sea issue, and this will be costly, said Zheng Yongnian, director of the East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore, in a recent phone interview with Xinhua.

“It based its judgment on its own historical experience as an expansioni­st empire and its deeply rooted great-power ideology, and not on China’s diplomatic performanc­e in the region,” he said.

US STRATEGIC MISJUDGMEN­T

Zheng, a well-known scholar on China studies, said that China, unlike the US, “does not have a missionary culture or missionary diplomatic policies.”

While heavy US presence in the region is regarded by some in China as a threat, China does not have its own version of the Monroe Doctrine to drive US influence out of the region, he said.

The US’ concerns about the freedom of navigation are not justified, either. China wants to safeguard peace and stability in the South China Sea more than any other, as it depends heavily on the important sea routes there.

“A misjudged strategy will be costly to America,” he said.

China has said it welcomes the US to play a positive role in regional peace and stability, like contributi­ng to maritime security.

China has voiced support for a dual- track approach on the South China Sea issue. It advocates common efforts by regional countries to safeguard regional peace and stability and insists that the South China Sea disputes should be dealt with through peaceful bilateral channels between countries directly involved in the disputes.

APPROACH ADVOCATED BY CHINA

The US has repeatedly emphasized that the South China Sea issue “must be resolved peacefully without a big nation presiding over smaller neighbors.” But Zheng said the implied accusation that China is a bully is essentiall­y biased.

The US- backed approach of internatio­nalizing the disputes is simply not helpful, as territoria­l disputes often leave no room for the claimant states to back down, and any efforts to create a hype will only escalate tension, he said.

Late Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping, admired worldwide as a great leader and known for his pragmatism, recognized that the South China Sea disputes could be resolved and therefore proposed joint developmen­t.

The approach advocated by Deng is better because it suits the complicate­d historical context. China and its neighbors in the South China Sea region had co-existed for thousands of years before the creation of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea.

China has also proved that it deals with its smaller neighbors with due respect and treats them as equals. China and Vietnam, for instance, solved their land border dispute long ago through bilateral negotiatio­ns, with China making quite a few concession­s.

“This case proved that it is unfair to call China a big bully to smaller nations,” Zheng said.

NO WINNERS

The US- backed approach of making the South China Sea disputes an internatio­nal and increasing­ly complicate­d geopolitic­al issue will be costly to all parties concerned, Zheng said.

While it is not in the interests of China to see a hype over the South China Sea issue, China will have to respond to provocatio­ns. It absolutely has the capacity to resist US-backed provocativ­e acts if necessary.

The Associatio­n of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) faces a dilemma as some of its members try to impose their disputes with China onto the ASEAN platform against the will of other members.

Zheng said the region has been less stable since the US interfered with its policy of “pivot to Asia.”

Moreover, it is not necessaril­y in the interests of even the claimant states to internatio­nalize the South China Sea disputes.

“Some of the politician­s are doing it out of political considerat­ions with no regard for their national interests,” Zheng said.

The US interferen­ce is a strategic miscalcula­tion and carries a cost for the US.

The interests of the regional countries and those of the US are not always the same. “While there is national interests convergenc­e between the US and these (claimant) states in some areas, the maximizati­on of national interests of these states is not necessaril­y in the interests of the US,” Zheng said.

“It benefits the US little with its interferen­ce; its interventi­on has only brought forward a lose-lose situation for all concerned,” he added.

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