The Philippine Star

A US view of separation: Goodbye, good riddance

- By JARIUS BONDOC

There’s two sides to a coin. Aggrieved Filipinos say America never outgrew its colonialis­t bent. Deceiving the Philippine­s as an “equal ally,” it demands access to Philippine military bases but denies Filipinos modern weaponry. It doles 15 times more military aid to three authoritar­ian regimes in the Middle East and South Asia than to democratic treaty-ally Philippine­s. It even profits from Filipino US-visa applicants, while getting visa-free training in the Philippine­s for thousands of American GIs each year.

On the other hand, the Philippine­s is an unreliable ally, the US scoffs. It drove away US military bases in 1991. It broke ranks from the US-led Coalition of the Willing against the Axis of Evil in 2004 just for an errant OFW in Iraq. That year it broke ranks from its own ASEAN allies for a joint seabed exploratio­n with China that emboldened the latter to claim the whole South China Sea. So why risk war for a country unwilling to fight for itself?

If mutual defense is unworkable for the Philippine­s and US, then mutual disengagem­ent is next. US think tanks propose that, in light of President Duterte’s pivot away from America. Example is the analysis, “America Should Drop Philippine­s Alliance: Thank Rodrigo Duterte for Encouragin­g Divorce,” by Doug Bandow of the Cato Institute, published in Forbes, Oct. 20, 2016. Excerpts:

“Philippine President Duterte is making a state visit to what until recently had been his nation’s ‘Great Satan’: China. As the Obama administra­tion pivoted to Asia, the Duterte administra­tion is pivoting from the US. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi greeted Duterte in Beijing: ‘This is a historic visit and presents an opportunit­y for relations between China and the Philippine­s to restart on a fresh, positive footing.’

“The prospect of a changed relationsh­ip worries Washington, but actually would be to America’s advantage. The ‘mutual’ defense pact between the US and Manila is a bad deal for Washington, which should use the Duterte shock as an opportunit­y to replace the alliance with much looser cooperatio­n on shared interests. In particular, the US should leave confrontat­ion with Beijing over contested territoria­l claims to Manila.

“The US collects allies like most people accumulate Facebook friends. The Philippine­s is a good example...

“Washington [i]s heavily involved in Filipino affairs, providing Special Forces to help battle Islamic insurgents, materiel to augment the Philippine military, and foreign aid to alleviate poverty. But the relationsh­ip [i]s an alliance in name only.

“The Philippine­s is a military nullity. The country brings to mind the Imperial German officer who after viewing maneuvers by the Austro-Hungarian army exclaimed: ‘My God, we are allied with a corpse.’

“The Philippine armed forces long focused on internal security. Eight years ago Gen. Alexander B. Yano, Philippine army chief of staff, complained about ‘deficient’ capability and an inability to ‘really defend all these areas because of a lack of equipment.’ Yet even today the Philippine­s devotes less than one percent of its GDP to the armed forces, which is a tiny fraction of what the People’s Republic of China spends. The Internatio­nal Institute for Strategic Studies explained that for decades ‘perenniall­y low defense budgets have thwarted efforts to develop any significan­t capac- ity for convention­al war fighting or deterrence.’

“For a country determined to confront Beijing at sea, the Filipino navy is a particular disappoint­ment. Explained journalist Joseph Trevithick: ‘The archipelag­o’s sailing force is made up of half-century-old-antiques – and is falling apart.’ In fact, the navy’s three finest ships are retired US Coast Guard cutters. The flagship Gregorio del Pilar will be a half century old next year. No wonder IISS warned that ‘it remains unlikely that the Philippine­s will be able to provide more than a token national capability to defend its maritime claims.’

“Washington should emphasize that it has decided to update the relationsh­ip to reflect current realities, not punish Duterte.

“Under the circumstan­ces Philippine officials continue to do what comes naturally: seek to borrow America’s military.

“The alliance was negotiated shortly after World War II, when many Asians still feared a Japanese military revival, and the US and Soviet Union were locked in a global struggle for dominance. Today no one threatens Philippine independen­ce. And the unlikely conquest of the Philippine­s, while a humanitari­an travesty, would not threaten American security. Washington has no reason to defend the Philippine­s proper, let alone distant and contested pieces of rock such as Scarboroug­h Shoal.

Yet Pentagon bureaucrat­s are attracted to bases like moths to a flame. “The military never lost its desire to regain facilities in the Philippine­s. In 2014 the two government­s signed the Enhanced Defense Cooperatio­n Agreement, set to run for a decade, which authorized joint training missions, offered multiple base access for US forces, and prepositio­ned American military equipment.

“Although emergency basing rights have value, they are modest: Washington should be intervenin­g much less in other nations’ disputes. The price for such a benefit should be equally modest, and certainly should not include a promise to go to war.

“However, the latter is what Manila desperatel­y desires, at least until Duterte’s election. Barely six years after Clark and Subic closed, the Philippine­s agreed to a visiting forces agreement for U.S. military personnel. American advisers arrived shortly thereafter. The last government was particular­ly enthusiast­ic about promoting joint exercises.

“Beijing recognized Manila’s objective. Chinese state media concluded of EDCA: ‘The Aquino administra­tion has made its intention clear: to confront China with US backing.’ In April Philippine Defense Secretary Gazmin declared that Americans ‘ with their presence here, will deter uncalled for actions by the Chinese...’

“But why would US officials be so mad as to go to war with Beijing over Philippine fishing rights?” ( For the complete text, see http://www.cato.org/ publicatio­ns/ commentary/ america-shoulddrop­philippine­s- alliance-than k-rod rigodut er te-encouragin­g) Catch Sapol radio show, Saturdays, 8-10 a.m., DWIZ, (882-AM). Gotcha archives on Facebook: https:// www. facebook. com/ pages/ Jarius- Bondoc/1376602159­218459, or The STAR website http://www.philstar.com/author/ Jarius%20Bondoc/GOTCHA

Why go to war for the fishing rights of a country unwilling to fight for itself, think tanks ask?

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