The Philippine Star

Can the Supreme Court fix American politics?

-

It’s rigged by politician­s who try to keep themselves, and their party, in power by redrawing the geographic­al boundaries for legislativ­e seats in the states and in Congress.

They can be very open about doing this. In North Carolina, where the statewide vote is often close, a Republican lawmaker was asked why the GOP-led Legislatur­e drew district maps that gave Republican­s 10 congressio­nal districts and Democrats only three. He responded, “Because I do not believe it’s possible to draw a map with 11 Republican­s and two Democrats.”

All map drawing is political, but at its most extreme, it strikes at the heart of representa­tive democracy. By letting politician­s pick their voters rather than the other way around, this practice, known as partisan gerrymande­ring, corrodes the relationsh­ip between lawmakers and their constituen­ts. It also discourage­s bipartisan­ship and undermines the public’s trust in government.

The Supreme Court has repeatedly steered clear of solving this age-old problem. But on Tuesday, in a case that could transform the American political landscape, the justices will hear arguments over whether, and how, partisan gerrymande­ring can be reined in.

Why is this so hard? Almost no one defends the practice. James Garfield, who served in Congress before becoming president and had benefited from gerrymande­ring, called it “evil.” President Ronald Reagan called it a “national scandal” in 1987 — “anti-democratic” and “un-American.” John Kasich, the Republican governor of Ohio, said last year that it remains the “biggest problem we have.” Polls show that seven in 10 Americans oppose it.

Yet even though the Supreme Court has said a political gerrymande­r may be so extreme that it violates the Constituti­on, it has never struck one down because the justices have not been able to agree on how much partisansh­ip in map drawing is too much, or even how to measure it.

If any case could convince them that it’s time to step in and find a solution fast, it’s the one they’re hearing on Tuesday: Gill v. Whitford, a lawsuit out of Wisconsin that offers a stark lesson in just how distorted the map-drawing process has become in an era of sophistica­ted mapping technology and intense political polarizati­on.

In 2010, Republican­s won unified control of Wisconsin’s government for the first time in years. They were determined not to lose it anytime soon, so they turned the decennial redistrict­ing process, which began in 2011, into a clandestin­e partisan operation. They set up a “map room” at a Republican-allied law firm, used refined data analyses to draw new, Republican-friendly district lines, and invited only Republican lawmakers to come in and see their new districts — after they signed nondisclos­ure agreements.

It worked. In 2012, the first election using the new maps, Republican candidates won 48 percent of the vote, but 60 of the state’s 99 legislativ­e seats. The Democrats’ 51 percent that year translated into only 39 seats, yet two years later, when the Republican­s won the same share of the vote, they ended up with 63 seats — a 24-seat differenti­al. In other words, Republican­s had figured out how to draw maps to lock in their legislativ­e majority no matter how many, or few, votes they received.

This is the opposite of how democracy is supposed to work, as a Federal District Court in Wisconsin found in striking down the maps last year under both the First and 14th Amendments. It was beyond doubt, the court held, that the new maps were “designed to make it more difficult for Democrats, compared to Republican­s, to translate their votes into seats.”

The court rejected the lawmakers’ claim that the discrepanc­y between vote share and legislativ­e seats was due simply to political geography: Democratic voters, they said, are concentrat­ed in urban areas, so their votes have an impact on fewer races, while Republican­s are spread out across the state. In fact, that doesn’t explain why the Wisconsin maps are so skewed. Rather, political science experts point to two predictors of a successful partisan gerrymande­r: state legislatur­es under one-party control and a recent history of close elections. Wisconsin has both.

So do several other battlegrou­nd states, where extremely biased legislativ­e maps could be at risk if the court rules against Wisconsin, according to an analysis by the Brennan Center for Justice. The analysis also found that 16 or 17 Republican seats in the House of Representa­tives — twothirds of the 24 seats that Democrats would need to retake control of that chamber — are a result of extreme partisan bias in the drawing of district lines.

In recent years, Republican­s have benefited far more from extreme gerrymande­rs, because of political trends and accidents of timing, but both parties are guilty of skewing maps when they’re able to. So how can the court get past its ambivalenc­e and strike down clearly unfair maps?

There are several straightfo­rward ways to measure the degree of partisansh­ip. The plaintiffs have pointed to one in particular, called the “efficiency gap,” which looks at the difference between each party’s “wasted” votes. That means every vote cast for its losing candidates, and all votes for its winning candidates above the bare majority needed to prevail. The greater the difference, the higher the partisan bias in the maps.

Measures like this could appeal to Justice Anthony Kennedy, who said in a 2004 case that he was open to the possibilit­y of a standard that would allow the court to rule on partisan gerrymande­rs. Justice Kennedy, as usual, holds the key vote on the issue, since the four more liberal justices are probably prepared to strike down Wisconsin’s maps, while the four conservati­ve justices are likely to say the court shouldn’t get involved in the political process. But extreme gerrymande­ring is a problem that by definition can’t be fixed through the normal political process, since the whole point is to make it hard or impossible for certain voters to make their voices heard. That’s not government of the people; it’s government in spite of the people.

The better, although not perfect, solution is to take map drawing away from self-interested politician­s and put it in the hands of an independen­t or bipartisan commission, as more than a dozen states have done, helping to make races both more competitiv­e and less partisan.

Until that happens everywhere, the court must step in and stop the most egregious gerrymande­rs. If it refuses to, the problem will only get worse.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from Philippines