The Philippine Star

Climate change to leave 150 M in need of aid

- By JANVIC MATEO

UNITED NATIONS – In a little over a decade, the number of people who will need humanitari­an aid due to climate change may reach 150 million per year, according to a new report by the Internatio­nal Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent (IFRC).

The report, titled The Cost of Doing Nothing, revealed that the amount needed for humanitari­an aid to victims of climate change-related disasters could balloon to $20 billion per year by 2030, up from the current $3.5 billion to $12 billion per year spending.

“By 2050, 200 million people every year could need internatio­nal humanitari­an aid as a result of climate-related disasters and the socioecono­mic impact of climate change. This is nearly twice the estimated 108 million people who need help today from the internatio­nal humanitari­an system because of floods, storms, droughts and wildfires,” the IFRC said.

“Even in 2030, which is only a decade away, this number could increase almost 50 percent. If we let the number of people in need increase, there will be a hefty price tag,” it added.

The data were a result of the analysis conducted by the IFRC and leading climate scientists and economists.

The IFRC noted the figures could even be conservati­ve estimates as not yet factored are the potential future impacts and costs of epidemics and heat waves.

“Climate change poses a unique double threat to vulnerable communitie­s. It leads to more frequent, intense and unpredicta­ble extreme weather events like floods, droughts and extreme heat,” the report, which featured images of the impact of typhoons in the Philippine­s, read.

“Its macroecono­mic impacts could reduce incomes and resilience among the world’s poorest, leaving them less able to manage shocks and more reliant on internatio­nal assistance,” it added.

But the IFRC said there is still time to reduce cost of humanitari­an aid by taking action now, such as by reducing long-term vulnerabil­ity and exposure of infrastruc­ture that may be affected by climate change-driven disasters.

It also highlighte­d the need for better early warning systems to reach vulnerable communitie­s, as well as new creative mechanisms for financing humanitari­an response.

“Investment in climate adaptation can greatly reduce the impacts of climate change, especially when adaptation measures prioritize the poorest and most vulnerable,” it said.

“The steps that are taken after a climate emergency can greatly reduce the impact of future hazards. Taken together, these measures will save money and, most importantl­y, save lives and reduce suffering for millions of people,” it added.

Doing something, according to the IFRC, could lower the number of people in need of humanitari­an assistance to 68 million per year in 2030 and further to 10 million per year by 2050.

“These difference­s show that rapid, inclusive, and climate and disaster-risk informed developmen­t can significan­tly reduce both climate change impacts and the cost of humanitari­an aid,” it said.

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