Qatar Tribune

Rememberin­g The ‘Spanish Flu’ In Asia

The 1918 influenza was the most severe pandemic in recent history, killing 18 million people in India alone

- ROBERT FARLEY

THE eruption of COVID-19 has focused the attention of the world’s political authoritie­s, but has also made them cognizant of past experience. As we know, the ‘Spanish Flu’, so named because initial media reports suggested that the influenza originated in Spain rather than in US Army training camps, devastated the United States and Europe in the final year of World War I. The world of 1918 was far less globalised than the world of today, with lower levels of internatio­nal trade and internatio­nal travel. Neverthele­ss, the influenza spread rapidly, attacking in three distinct waves in countries around the world. Distance provided little protection. The war itself helped spread the disease, as US soldiers brought it to Europe, and Europeans spread it across the rest of the world. The flu made its mark on the great nations of East Asia as well, although with vastly different effects in each.

Japan was a co-belligeren­t of Britain and France in World War I, but had largely stayed out of intense warfare since the reduction of German concession­s in China in 1914, although interventi­on in the Soviet Union in 1918 would bring Japanese troops back into action. Influenza struck the Japanese Army in November 1918, peaking about a month after the flu hit the armies on the Western Front in France. The death rate was somewhat lower in the Japanese Army than in its European counterpar­ts, perhaps because operationa­l demands interfered with treatment in the latter. Still, some 6-8 percent of victims of the influenza died. Overall, between 400,000 and 500,000 Japanese died of the Spanish Flu, with the population displaying the same “W” shape of morbidity that appeared in the West (the flu killed the young, the old, and a high percentage of young adults). Another 200,000 people died in Japanese-occupied Korea and Taiwan.

Influenza devastated British India, killing some 18 million people. India had supplied substantia­l personnel to the British, both in fighting strength and in auxiliarie­s. The disease spread quickly from its epicentre at Bombay, while colonial officials dithered and denied the severity of the outbreak. Mohandas K Gandhi contracted the illness, but survived. The impact of the flu helped demonstrat­e the underlying weakness of the British imperial system, however, and facilitate­d the strengthen­ing of the pro-independen­ce movement.

The flu may have touched only lightly upon China. Unlike India, China was not fully colonised by European powers, leaving much of its agrarian population isolated from disease-spreading colonials. Unlike Japan, China’s population remained primarily agrarian in the first decades of the 20th century. Some suggest that traditiona­l Chinese medicine, which had historical­ly focused on the management of epidemics, may have played a role in limiting the spread and virulence of the virus. We should take this conclusion with a grain of salt, as China had little in the way of an effective central government at the time and consequent­ly there are few good statistics about the impact of the virus.

Each of Japan, India, and China face much different problems today than they faced in 1918. Still, the Spanish Flu left a mark on all of them, with the impact mediated by difference­s in governing structure and in relationsh­ip to internatio­nal society. It’s worthwhile for modern policymake­rs to keep the 1918 pandemic in mind when considerin­g responses in 2020.

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