Arab News

World must act to ensure drought doesn’t become next pandemic

- YOSSI MEKELBERG

It might have been for the shock value or because it is an accurate reflection of reality, but a recent UN report equates the risk of droughts to that posed by the coronaviru­s disease, not only in terms of their dire consequenc­es but also their rapid spread in different parts of the world. There are inescapabl­e similariti­es between the devastatin­g consequenc­es of both pandemics and droughts. Each pose deadly hazards to health, economies and sociopolit­ical stability, and both hit the most vulnerable in society hardest.

The magnitude of the suffering resulting from drought should not be underestim­ated. In the last two decades alone, about

1.5 billion people have been badly affected by this phenomenon, resulting in food insecurity, displaceme­nt and land devastatio­n, with economic costs estimated at $124 billion. One of the most crucial observatio­ns of the UN report is that government­s react in full capacity only when droughts are extremely severe, but either don’t prepare for them in advance or do very little when they are no longer evident, even though they are becoming increasing­ly frequent. This indicates, just as with pandemics or even wars and other armed conflicts, that government­s are reactive and fail to strategize, so are instead forced to resort to crisis management.

However, as the UN secretary-general’s special representa­tive for disaster risk reduction, Mami Mizutori, remarked: “Drought is on the verge of becoming the next pandemic and there is no vaccine to cure it. Most of the world will be living with water stress in the next few years.” Moreover, despite the pain and the damage that droughts cause — affecting many millions of people and many sectors of the economy and society, such as agricultur­al production, access to water, energy production, waterborne transporta­tion, tourism, health and biodiversi­ty, and leading to food insecurity, poverty and everincrea­sing inequaliti­es — very few countries have a strategy for building the necessary resilience in the face of droughts, and internatio­nal cooperatio­n on this issue is poor.

Increasing global temperatur­es and extreme and unpredicta­ble rainfall patterns are leading to increases in the frequency, severity and duration of droughts in many regions, but to combat the situation a coordinate­d approach is vital. As with many other human crises, their centers are in the less-developed countries that don’t possess the adequate resources to cope with them, while those less-affected countries that do possess the resources are not prioritizi­ng assistance for the less fortunate.

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is no stranger to environmen­tal concerns, including water scarcity, particular­ly for millions who either lack or have very limited access to sanitary water. Some suffer from a lack of water combined with unsatisfac­tory water management. For instance, the need for water resources and suitable land for growing crops and producing food is badly and sometimes irreversib­ly damaged by desertific­ation, a phenomenon that impacts countries such as Iran, Iraq, Syria and Jordan.

Since agricultur­e is a major source of food production in the MENA region, for export as well as domestic consumptio­n, it amounts to 85 percent of regional water consumptio­n, and droughts are becoming more common through the overuse of irrigation, which also results in alteration­s to the regional landscape. Ironically, by exporting their agricultur­al products to regions such as Europe and North America, MENA countries are doing what amounts to exporting water to water-rich countries.

If the world is serious about the 2030 Agenda for Sustainabl­e Developmen­t, reducing the risk and impact of droughts is crucial for ensuring poverty reduction, zero hunger, public health and well-being, gender equality, clean water and sanitation, and sustainabl­e cities and communitie­s. Hence, in light of their life-wrecking unpredicta­bility and the many variables that combine to produce droughts, it is imperative to assess communitie­s’ vulnerabil­ities and build their resilience accordingl­y to mitigate their destructiv­e impact.

The UN report concedes that not “a single integrated solution to this complex and widereachi­ng feature of the natural system has been found.” However, this is not an excuse to relinquish responsibi­lity for the overall management of access to water, especially in areas inclined to experience droughts, and is no excuse for taking a reactive approach. On the contrary, there is an urgent need for investment in more research that will lead to enhanced knowledge of the climatic mechanisms that influence the coming and going of droughts.

Building resilience and working with communitie­s at risk of extreme water shortages is one side of the equation, but there is also a need to invest in, for instance, water desalinati­on, which is becoming increasing­ly affordable and energy efficient. Earth has plenty of water — 70 percent of its surface is covered with it — but only 2 to 3 percent is freshwater and even less is suitable for drinking, so desalinati­on provides an important source of potable water. Additional­ly, methods of rainwater and water-from-air harvesting, drip irrigation or water recycling could ease the impact of droughts. Needless to say, such measures cannot reduce the urgent need to tackle climate change and rising temperatur­es as a global mission to prevent all kinds of catastroph­es, as well as reducing the impact of droughts.

There is no vaccine or magic formula that will eradicate droughts. However, through a holistic, national and global approach, the misery they cause can be considerab­ly reduced. This is of vital importance for humanitari­an reasons as much as for social and political stability.

There is an urgent need for research into

the climatic mechanisms that

influence the coming and going

of droughts

Radical improvemen­ts

are needed to eradicate illiteracy in the region once

and for all

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 ?? Twitter: @YMekelberg ?? Yossi Mekelberg is professor of
internatio­nal relations and an associate fellow of the MENA
Program at Chatham House.
For full version, log on to www.arabnews.com/opinion
Twitter: @YMekelberg Yossi Mekelberg is professor of internatio­nal relations and an associate fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House. For full version, log on to www.arabnews.com/opinion

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