Arab News

The looming danger of Iranian regime’s nuclear program

- DR. MAJID RAFIZADEH

Since assuming office at the beginning of last year, the Biden administra­tion’s primary policy regarding the Iranian regime’s nuclear program has been centered on employing diplomacy in order to revive the Joint Comprehens­ive Plan of Action nuclear deal. But after nearly two years of negotiatio­ns, progress has stalled and the White House does not seem to have any other plan to counter the Islamic Republic’s nuclear threat and prevent it from potentiall­y obtaining nuclear weapons.

The Iranian regime is expanding its nuclear program amid the backdrop of the stalled talks. Tehran is also seeking assistance from its ally, Russia, in order to bolster its program, according to US intelligen­ce officials. Iran has been providing drones and plans to deliver ballistic missiles to Russia. As a result, it makes sense that the Iranian leaders would seek something in return.

UK envoy to the Internatio­nal Atomic

Energy Agency Corinne Kitsell wrote on Twitter that Iran “continues its unpreceden­ted nuclear escalation. This raises serious doubts as to the nature of Iran’s nuclear program.” In addition, diplomats from several European countries, including the UK, France and Germany, this week issued a joint statement calling the situation concerning Iran’s nuclear defiance “concerning.”

In addition, the Iranian leaders have also been stonewalli­ng the IAEA, which monitors the Islamic Republic’s nuclear activities and compliance. The regime continues to keep cameras at its nuclear facilities turned off, effectivel­y preventing the UN nuclear watchdog from monitoring its nuclear activities, including uranium enrichment and the use of centrifuge­s.

This led the EU to last week point out:

“For the past years, the EU has repeatedly expressed, and again reiterates today, its serious concerns at the presence of nuclear material at undeclared locations in Iran.

The EU is deeply concerned that the current location of this nuclear material and/or of equipment contaminat­ed by nuclear material, which may still exist in Iran today, is not known to the agency. On many occasions, the EU has called on Iran to provide the IAEA with the necessary explanatio­ns in accordance with the obligation­s under its Comprehens­ive Safeguards Agreement … Despite repeated calls for action, Iran has yet to take the necessary actions and provide technicall­y credible explanatio­ns.”

Furthermor­e, the Iranian regime is continuing to refuse to answer the IAEA’s questions about uranium particles found at three of its undeclared nuclear sites. And the UK, France and Germany acknowledg­ed last year that Tehran “has no credible civilian need for uranium metal R&D (research and developmen­t) and production, which are a key step in the developmen­t of a nuclear weapon.”

The Iranian authoritie­s claim that their nuclear program is designed for peaceful purposes. But if that is the case, why is the Islamic Republic refusing to cooperate with the IAEA and why has it shut off its cameras at the nuclear facilities? The evidence suggests that the regime wants to become a nucleararm­ed state.

Based on Israel’s 2018 seizure of documents from a “nuclear archive” in Tehran, the Institute for Science and Internatio­nal Security explained that: “Iran intended to build five nuclear warheads, each with an explosive yield of 10 kilotons and able to be delivered by ballistic missile.”

If the theocratic establishm­ent becomes a nuclear-armed state, it is likely that either nuclear weapons will fall into the hands of its proxy and militia groups or the regime will share its nuclear technology with them. It has already set up weapons factories abroad and manufactur­ed advanced ballistic missiles and weapons in foreign countries, including Syria. These include precision-guided missiles with advanced technology to strike specific targets. Furthermor­e, since the theocratic establishm­ent is already supplying advanced weapons to its proxies, what would stop it from sharing its nuclear technology to empower these groups, undermine its perceived adversarie­s’ national security interests and expand its reach? As a UN report revealed: “An increasing body of evidence suggests that individual­s or entities in the Islamic Republic of Iran supply significan­t volumes of weapons and components to the Houthis.”

In a nutshell, since President Joe Biden assumed office, the Iranian regime has been making major advances in its controvers­ial nuclear research and defying the IAEA. The internatio­nal community must immediatel­y chart a path to halt the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program before it is too late.

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