Business Day

A critical tipping point

- Mike Sampson Econresear­ch, Cape Town

SIR — If current “antidumpin­g protection­ism” awarded to chicken and steel-fastener producers is a reliable indicator, SA’s currency would have to halve its 2011 value to restore national industrial competitiv­eness.

A broader basket suggests national competitiv­eness under African National Congress policies has declined to the extent that de-industrial­isation and unemployme­nt are now pervasive and endemic.

However, no amount of devaluatio­n or protection­ism can compensate for legislativ­e and political weakness. Various commentato­rs from Moeletsi Mbeki to Raymond Parsons have drawn attention to the need for more inclusive and better-balanced policies.

Under the current political dispositio­n, legislatio­n cannot emerge without distortion. Labour law should not destroy jobs, create unemployme­nt and increase the tax burden on the state.

Competitio­n law should not destroy national competitiv­eness, nor should government growth stifle and monopolise and squeeze out investment, savings and the private sector — and push up the cost of doing business. Nor should industrial and economic developmen­t policies be beholden to social engineerin­g. Nor should dependency on the state become a political objective. The list is endless.

Perhaps SA needs a European crisis and a further decline in commodity prices to force the necessary political change — SA is at a critical political tipping point.

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