Business Day

Morgan Stanley, Qatar fund talks ‘in difficulty’

- DINESH NAIR and RICHARD MABLY Dubai

MORGAN Stanley’s talks with Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund over the sale of its commoditie­s business have run into difficulty, and the deal may need to be reworked if it is to go ahead, sources said yesterday.

One of the top banks in commodity trading over the past 30 years, Morgan Stanley has been in talks for more than a year with Qatar over the sale of at least a majority stake in the energy-focused trading business, the banking sources said.

“There have been some difference­s, and Qatar is a bit lukewarm about it,” one said. “It’s not dead yet but definitely not imminent.”

He said the hitch was not about price but about the structure of the deal, which would see the divested unit run by the existing commoditie­s team at Morgan.

Bankers said the parties had looked at two deals: the sale of a majority stake, at least 75%, or the sale of the whole unit, with commoditie­s managers at Morgan Stanley taking a 20% stake funded by private equity.

Selling the capital-intensive commoditie­s business would raise much-needed funds for Morgan Stanley, and allow the divested unit to maintain ownership of physical assets in the US and resume proprietar­y trading.

Qatar Holding, the investment arm of the Gulf state’s sovereign wealth fund Qatar Investment Authority, has led most of Qatar’s foreign acquisitio­ns but has focused on minority holdings including stakes in Barclays, Credit Suisse, Volkswagen and Porsche. It has full ownership of Harrods. The fund is seen as a bull on commoditie­s, with a senior executive saying in April: “We like commoditie­s, we like to invest in commoditie­s. Since 2002, the commodity price trend keeps going up.”

Qatar Holding also emerged as kingmaker in Glencore’s planned acquisitio­n of Xstrata, amassing a

Selling the capitalint­ensive commoditie­s business would raise much needed funds for Morgan Stanley

12% stake through market purchases and forcing Glencore to raise its offer at the eleventh hour.

Along with Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley was one of the original “Wall Street refiners” that blazed a trail in the energy derivative­s markets in the 1980s by combining physical assets with derivative­s trading nous and access to capital. Morgan Stanley, Goldman and JPMorgan are awaiting a verdict from the Federal Reserve on whether they can keep those physical assets. The status of assets including Morgan Stanley’s Denver-based TransMonta­igne refined products supplier has been in question since investment banks became regulated by the Fed as bank holding companies in the 2008 financial crisis.

While its rivals have shifted their commoditie­s focus to client hedging and index business, Morgan Stanley has maintained a presence in storing and transporti­ng fuels, making it more vulnerable to the Fed ruling.

“The sweet spot for Morgan Stan- ley is in the space between physical markets and derivative­s, connecting the two,” said a London banker. He said the bank may have decided that unless the Fed granted the right to both maintain existing physical assets and acquire new ones it should exit the business.

If the bank wanted to maintain a minority stake in commoditie­s and avoid Fed regulation it would need to sell at least 75%, bankers said.

From an estimated peak of $3bn in 2008, Morgan Stanley’s commoditie­s trading revenue has dropped sharply, partly because of the Volcker rule that bans banks from proprietar­y trading and because of capital constraint­s. Reuters

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