Business Day

STREET DOGS

- Michel Pireu (pireum@streetdogs.co.za)

Never forget that the practised pundit is making appearance­s and dropping quotes for the benefit of a firm or a career — and not necessaril­y for your benefit.” — Anon

Giving advice to a driver from the backseat of a car is easy enough and, for some, even seems to be enjoyable. Whether that individual is actually qualified to give advice is another issue. In the financial blogospher­e and media there is a mass of backseat drivers recklessly directing investors off cliffs and into walls. There are no consequenc­es for these blabbers. It’s the investors managing their personal portfolios who ultimately suffer the pain of failed financial dreams. Unlike drivers, who require a licence to drive to the local grocery store, there is no predetermi­ned requiremen­t for investors to drive their own portfolio and, unfortunat­ely, that applies to the bloggers, journalist­s, economists, analysts, strategist­s and other pundits who give advice. A little charisma and articulati­on seem to be the main requiremen­ts. Otherwise, pretty much anyone can emphatical­ly counsel investors. It shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise to find that many of these selfprocla­imed experts have little or no personal experience in investing money.

It’s easy for overly bearish or bullish pundits to lead investors astray with outlandish­ly gloomy or optimistic prediction­s. All too often, the pundit’s first priority is selling a convincing story — whether grounded in reality or not. Stories are usually constructe­d looking into the rear-view mirror, by creatively connecting current events in a way that may seem reasonable on the surface.

Crusty investors who have invested through various cycles know better than to pay attention to these opinions. As the saying goes, “Opinions are like ***holes. Everybody has one.”

Adapted from an article at InvestingC­affeine.com.

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