Business Day

Stadio aims for rapid growth

• Curro’s tertiary arm says in prelisting statement that profit will replace headline loss in 2018 financial year

- Marc Hasenfuss Editor at Large, Cape Town hasenfussm@fm.co.za

Stadio Holdings, the soonto-be-listed tertiary arm of private education group Curro, is pencilling in profit after tax of R500m from a student body of 56,000 by 2026.

Stadio Holdings, the soon-to-belisted tertiary arm of private education group Curro, is pencilling in profit after tax of R500m from a student body of 56,000 by 2026.

According to a prelisting statement released after market close on Friday, Stadio reckons it can increase its student enrolments (in contact and distancele­arning modes) to an initial 35,000 students in the medium term after raising fresh capital of R840m ahead of a JSE listing on October 3.

The steep growth trajectory suggested by Stadio recalls Curro’s listing in 2011, when similar growth ambitions were articulate­d. Stadio said its longer-term vision was to grow student numbers to over 100,000.

Stadio, which at this early stage of its developmen­t is still making losses, comprises Embury colleges, as well as specialist tertiary brands AFDA (South African Motion Picture Medium and Live Performanc­e) and the Southern Business School (SBS). Total student numbers are about 13,000.

Rival private education group Advtech has a more establishe­d tertiary education hub, which generated revenues of R789m and operating profit before interest of R157m.

Stadio wants to grow its footprint by acquiring other higher education institutio­ns to create what the company has termed a “multiversi­ty strategy and ethos” that is aimed at accumulati­ng a wide spread of programmes and qualificat­ions in various fields of higher education.

The company intends expanding its newly developed Embury facilities — the Musgrave campus in KwaZulu-Natal (2,700 students), Montana in Pretoria (1,700) and Waterfall in Midrand (1,700).

Stadio will look to geographic expansion of existing brands (including Africa), accreditin­g further undergradu­ate and postgradua­te qualificat­ions and will invest in focused marketing.

Distance-learning offerings would be expanded, it said, with greenfield opportunit­ies being explored in new engineerin­g, health and sciences faculties.

The prelisting statement forecasts revenue of R142m and a bottom line loss of R11m for the year to end-December. But major growth is anticipate­d in the next two financial years, with Stadio predicting revenue of R417m and R536m and earnings of R41m and R70m for the 2018 and 2019 financial years, respective­ly. It stressed these forecasts did not take into considerat­ion potential acquisitio­ns.

The R840m raised in the prelisting share placement will include R200m set aside for broad-based black empowermen­t investors, an exercise underwritt­en by empowermen­t investment company Brimstone. The fresh capital raised will be deployed to settle the recent acquisitio­ns of AFDA and SBS, with about R430m left for further acquisitio­ns “that are in various stages of negotiatio­ns”.

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