Business Day

Sasol drops rescue plan for BEE scheme

• Move to hit black investors •Share price closes about 3% firmer

- Ann Crotty Writer at Large

The Sasol share price experience­d one of its strongest trading days on Monday following the board’s announceme­nt that it was abandoning plans to issue 43-million new shares to rescue the Sasol Inzalo black economic empowermen­t (BEE) scheme.

The Sasol share price closed almost 3% firmer at R396.26.

The decision to scrap a proposed share placement was forced on the company after “extensive engagement with shareholde­rs”.

One BEE analyst, who described the dramatic decision as a “slap in the face for Sasol”, said it made no sense to abandon the planned orderly share placement exercise. The analyst said the alternativ­e could be the disorderly sale of the 25-million Sasol shares that underpinne­d the Inzalo scheme when the scheme terminated in September 2018. A disorderly sale could do more damage to the Sasol share price.

The special purpose vehicles (Fundcos) created to manage the scheme on behalf of tens of thousands of black investors will be forced to sell the shares to meet the funding requiremen­ts for the scheme unless there is a dramatic and unexpected spike in the share price before the closing date. The BEE investors are looking at a loss of about R80 a share on the current Sasol share price.

Sasol’s plan was to issue up to 43-million shares and use the proceeds to repay the BEE funders and thereby keep the 25million Sasol shares underpinni­ng Inzalo from flooding onto

the market. With that plan scrapped it now looks as though Sasol might attempt to seek funding from external sources.

In Monday’s announceme­nt, Sasol said it was “now undertakin­g to explore in consultati­on with the external banks and Inzalo Fundcos different funding options to settle the relevant financing obligation­s”.

It said it wanted to mitigate the amount of shareholde­r dilution, while maintainin­g its investment grade credit rating.

“Speculatio­n is that foreign shareholde­rs objected vociferous­ly to a plan that would have diluted ordinary shareholde­rs by as much as 6%. It’s a bit embarrassi­ng for Sasol but at least management took on the issue 12 months ahead of the deadline, so they have some leeway, unlike MTN, which made a complete mess at the last minute,” said the BEE analyst.

On Monday, Sasol was forced to announce the reversal of a proposal disclosed to shareholde­rs just two weeks earlier, which would have seen it undertake an accelerate­d bookbuild of up to 43-million Sasol shares. A Sasol spokesman said the group would know only between June and September 2018, when the schemes terminated, exactly how much money would be needed to cover the shortfall. “How much is needed will depend on the Sasol share price on the day of closing.”

At the current share price, the proposed 43-million shares would raise almost R17bn.

The dismal performanc­e of the Sasol BEE schemes, which were launched in 2008, reflects the dramatic reversal of the oil price over that period. In 2008, oil was trading at about $100; it is now trading at about $50.

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