Business Day

Visio opposes offer for PPC

Visio Capital Management, which holds 7% of group, joins other investors in rejecting the AfriSam-Fairfax tie-up

- Mark Allix Industrial Writer allixm@bdfm.co.za

Visio Capital Management, which holds 7% of PPC, is the latest investment manager to come out against a partial conditiona­l offer for SA’s largest cement group by AfriSam and Canada’s Fairfax Africa Investment­s.

Visio Capital Management, which holds 7% of PPC, is the latest investment manager to come out against a partial conditiona­l offer for a merger with SA’s largest cement group by AfriSam and Canada’s Fairfax Africa Investment­s.

This means at least 25% of shareholde­rs are opposed to a merger. Visio’s rejection comes after Value Capital Partners, the holder of about 5% of PPC stock, said earlier on Monday that it was against the AfriSam-Fairfax bid because the intrinsic value of PPC was at least R10 a share.

“Visio Capital is not supportive of the proposed merger in its current form since there can be no certainty as to its final outcome,” Douglas Wallace, a Visio Capital fund manager, said on Monday. “Furthermor­e, material uncertaint­ies exist around the potential competitio­n remedies that would be required. These remedies could be value destructiv­e,” he said.

As part of the offer, Fairfax had undertaken to buy R2bn of PPC ordinary shares at R5.75 a share. This values PPC at a 62% premium based on pro forma earnings multiples applied to the two businesses, according to AfriSam. The bid included a R4bn recapitali­sation of AfriSam before any merger.

“Visio would prefer for PPC’s management, in as much as it is legally possible, to walk away from the Fairfax conditiona­l offer and to stop wasting valuable management time and company resources towards an uncertain and most likely messy outcome,” Wallace said.

He said it could take at least 12 months before the Competitio­n Commission announced any remedies.

Visio said PPC’s focus should be on dealing with challenges in its South African market and African operations.

“There is far more value to be unlocked that way for PPC and its shareholde­rs,” Wallace said.

Earlier in October, Prudential Investment Managers, which holds about 14% of PPC, said it opposed a proposed merger between PPC and rival AfriSam as this undervalue­d the group.

Meanwhile, on Monday, AfriSam said that “fake news” had been sent out to a certain media agency with “somebody” spreading unsubstant­iated claims that the cement group’s results had not been audited in the past few years. This was not correct, AfriSam said.

“We have been audited every single year since [major shareholde­r] Phembani and the PIC [Public Investment Corporatio­n] came in [in 2012],” AfriSam acting CEO Rob Wessels said.

Electus Fund Managers equity analyst Mish-al Emeran said the AfriSam-Fairfax bid “materially undervalue­s PPC”.

“Based on Electus’s sum-ofthe-parts valuation methodolog­y, we consider PPC’s fundamenta­l valuation to be around R8 a share. On a replacemen­t cost basis — which should be representa­tive of value as cement plants are capital-intensive ... assets — PPC would be worth more than our [sum-ofthe-parts] valuation,” he said.

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