Business Day

Harmony sticks to forecast

- Allan Seccombe Resources Writer seccombea@bdfm.co.za

Harmony Gold stuck to its full-year production after a slow start to its 2019 financial year in which costs ballooned because of higher winter electricit­y prices and labour costs.

Harmony Gold stuck to its fullyear production after a slow start to its 2019 financial year in which costs ballooned because of higher winter electricit­y prices and labour costs.

Harmony reported production and cost data for its mines in SA and Papua New Guinea for the September quarter, which showed a 2% fall in gold output to 378,510oz compared to the three months prior and an 8% increase in all-in sustaining costs to R526,747/kg.

These two quarters include the Moab Khotsong mining complex in the Free State, which was added to the Harmony portfolio in March in a deal with AngloGold Ashanti.

Year on year, Harmony’s September quarter production grew 30% because of the inclusion of Moab Khotsong as well as the Hidden Valley gold and silver mine in Papua New Guinea reaching commercial levels of production from June.

Nedbank analysts Arnold van Graan and Leon Esterhuize­n said in a note that Hidden Valley had reported free cash flow for the first time since it was restarted after Harmony bought out its equal partner, Australia’s Newcrest Mining.

In the SA region, production declined to 300,963oz from 310,255oz in the June quarter, mainly because of sizeable falls in grade at the Moab Khotsong and Kusasaleth­u mines.

“This is not a great operationa­l performanc­e, but it is still early in the year, so we do not expect a material market reaction to these results — especially as guidance is maintained,” the Nedbank analysts said.

Harmony stuck to its full-year guidance of 1.45million ounces.

“We are confident that we will achieve our annual production and cost guidance as we continue to focus on safety, production and cost management,” said Harmony CEO Peter Steenkamp.

Moab is expected to reach grades of 10g/ton in coming months as Harmony completes safety work in higher-grade areas. During the September quarter, Moab’s grade fell to 8.44g/ton from 9.85g/ton in the June quarter.

Harmony received R570,545/kg of gold sold during the quarter, a number largely unchanged from the previous quarter and from a year earlier. It reported an average group allin sustaining cost of R526,747/kg, which was 8% higher than the costs of the previous quarter and the matching period a year earlier.

“We expect cash costs to recede in quarters two to four, but quarter one costs are indicative of high SA inflation eroding the benefits of a significan­tly weaker [rand against the dollar],” said JPMorgan Cazenove.

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