Business Day

We have gone past policy and promises to put the world in the hands of personalit­ies

- MARK BARNES ● Barnes is CEO of the Post Office twitter: @mark_barnes56

Pain-free populism is fine if you just need to floss, but when you need root-canal treatment it’s out with the needles, the drills. Eina! for sure, but it’ll save the tooth.

The conundrum is obvious. If you want to effect change, you must be in charge. To be in charge, you must be elected. To be elected you must be popular. To be popular you must make promises promises to the disaffecte­d, promises to the masses, popular promises.

Formulatin­g objective policy for sustainabl­e growth is what’s required, but that will start with planting, not harvesting, so that’s no good.

The truth is that we’ve moved way past policy, past promises even, to personalit­ies. The world order is in the hands of very, very few personalit­ies, wanting to have their way, rather than implement or even formulate policy that won’t produce a midterm harvest. All the way from the hectic Trump (narcissist­ic, know-it-all, child

leading the crazy index by some margin) through Putin and Kim Jong-un to the determined Xi Jinping, steadfast Merkel and the “We walk straight, so you’d better get out the way!”, schoolboy politics of May (give it up Theresa, it was a mistake a populist one) and even Macron, who seems to be sticking to his guns despite des gilets jaunes.

Ironically, to win, populism must compromise. The herd is always gathered in the middle of the bell curve, the catalysts for change often left lingering in the tails, both left and right. Things don’t get done by the middle in the comfort zones of compliance and continuity. The middle won’t change course, they don’t take risks, they don’t make decisions. No new mistakes, just a continuati­on of the old ones that have become habits. That would be okay if everything was in good shape, but we know it isn’t. At a political level populism is fractious, not unifying. It invites multiple party emergence where the most outrageous promises drive central policy formulatio­n. It manifests in coalitions stitched together by the flimsiest of intersecti­ng ideas or issues specific to constituen­cies. They don’t last. They don’t deal with any hard stuff, and yet it is the hard stuff that binds us, not the wish lists. Compromise manifests in the hamstrung decision makers who have to check whether what they want to do will keep them in multiparty power, not whether it’s right, or necessary.

Tax breaks, free services, lenience, handouts these are the sweeties of populist policy that provide temporary highs, or even relief, but it’s damn difficult to get the balance right.

Imagine how expensive education will become once it’s free, no rules. We’ll have to introduce another currency to pay for it, like merit. You pass we pay, you fail you pay, no exceptions. Lowering the pass mark won’t help either. Education must create productive capacity if that’s not an output then you create a recurring, increasing input cost instead. Expensive votes indeed.

Winners of popularity contests don’t tolerate dissension, they’re scared of it. When arguably the most qualified defence secretary in the world is forced to resign (by Trump) you’d better get worried. “Yes men” effectivel­y reduce the number of brains in the room to one. Worse still, that one is you, the very person who’s just got rid of the experts in favour of the friends.

Populist campaign promises become crusades, obsessions that cause collateral damage, all in the name of continued voter confidence. Consider The Wall. Say no more.

The hard part about fixing things is not working out what has to be done, but actually getting it done. It takes time and money, for sure, but mostly it requires expertise and experience. True experts don’t even enter popularity contests, it’s not what turns them on. Don’t call a cardiologi­st to a hospital management meeting. Stay out of his operating theatre. Scalpel, operate, stitch. Learn, modify, repeat. Authorised entry only. Don’t interrupt experts at work and, for goodness sake, don’t override them.

Of course, even the best surgeons must subscribe to medical best practice and hospital policy those rules are also there for a purpose. Remember though, that operating theatres have standard procedures for normal conditions. If blood starts spurting out unexpected­ly, get out of the way and let the cardiologi­st do what must be done to save a life.

Back to basics. Let’s go hire some pothole fillers. We’ll put the nice new tar surface on afterwards, but only afterwards.

 ??  ??

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from South Africa