Business Day

Corporate SA can only see the rot spread as checks and balances are eroded

- ● Theobald is chair of research and consulting firm Intellidex

Something is rotten in the state of corporate SA. Steinhoff is the obvious example of grand-scale theft, but much else lurks in its shadow.

Constructi­on firm Group Five is bankrupt, one-time technology sensation EOH is plagued by corruption allegation­s that have scared off key partner Microsoft, sugar producer Tongaat Hulett is in trouble over land sales it banked as revenue, investment holding company Brait is a pariah for bailing out management for a share scheme that was R2bn in the red, pharmaceut­ical giant Aspen is flogging assets to try to pay off an unsustaina­ble debt pile, and property empire Resilient is being dogged by allegation­s of share price manipulati­on.

All of those have wreaked havoc on shareholde­r wealth.

These facts please some. Those on a smash-and-grab spree through the public sector love nothing more than to denigrate corporate SA. It is an attempt at a false equivalenc­e, the scoundrel who declares “I might have done bad, but you did too” without realising the acknowledg­ement of guilt, a fallacy captured by the lovely Latin term tu quoque.

But we are grownups. And we must ask ourselves if something is going wrong in corporate behaviour. Of course there has always been malfeasanc­e and it is difficult to

say scientific­ally whether the current spate is just more of the same, or reflects some fundamenta­l shift in the system. Increasing­ly I am convinced it is the latter: something important has changed.

Many things contribute to behaviour. Thousands of pages have been written on incentives, but that seems to miss something else important: ethics. The incentives debate stems from the school of rational choice, in which all behaviour reflects the rational calculatio­n of optimal strategy to achieve specified goals. But ethics has filled many more thousands of pages, from the ancient Greeks to today. Being ethical is a virtue irrespecti­ve of what incentives you may face. And that has increasing­ly been neglected in business.

Even if we accept incentives are enough, many checks and balances have eroded. The commercial crimes investigat­ion and prosecutin­g capacity of the state has collapsed. Until the National Prosecutin­g Authority (NPA) gets its act together, SA will remain one of the easiest places in the world to get away with complex financial crime.

But there are many other role players. The accounting profession, while never perfect, has stumbled dramatical­ly. It seems that every two decades or so accounting firms cycle from being audit-focused to playing corporate adviser. As soon as this conflict leads to some or other collapse — the dot.com bubble, Enron, the financial crisis — firms excise their consulting arms into separate entities and focus returns to the audit function. We are again at the point when consulting arms need excision.

Another check is financial journalism, though it has been denuded of the resources it had two decades ago. Some exceptiona­l individual­s persist in working hard to expose malfeasanc­e, proving that incentives aren’t everything.

Another key part of the puzzle are shareholde­rs. Public financial markets, like that of the JSE, are a powerful disciplina­ry tool. When companies do bad or badly, their share prices are pummelled. All the companies mentioned above have had their valuations thrashed, by 65%98% of their former highs.

A share price thrashing can be too little, too late. If shareholde­rs were more vigilant and more active in conveying their views to companies, they might not get themselves into trouble.

But shareholde­rs too have been denuded of resources, with the growth of passive investment funds putting pressure on all institutio­nal fund managers to cut costs. Fund managers have cut back on the use of external analysts to provide them with research and in the process the number of people actively interrogat­ing companies has fallen.

It is all depressing because the solutions are not obvious. Certainly we need a more active NPA, and perhaps we may get a post-election ANC that delivers one. The financial media might find a new business model. Competitio­n and regulation will force accounting firms to rebuild public trust.

The capital markets, too, will rebuild mechanisms to discipline companies. These will not be from within the traditiona­l institutio­nal shareholde­r world, but rather from activist hedge funds and individual investors, attracted to the profit opportunit­ies that inefficien­t markets provide. Such activists might be better at the task than institutio­nal shareholde­rs have been, even when their nests were much better feathered.

All this, though, will take time. And to make it resilient, we must put ethics back in the centre of corporate leadership, by vigorously ejecting those who are found wanting.

 ?? STUART THEOBALD ??
STUART THEOBALD

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