Business Day

Investors turn up heat on Big Oil ahead of summit

- Simon Jessop and Matthew Green London

Investors managing $15-trillion in assets have turned up the heat on the oil and gas sector ahead of a UN summit in New York aimed at accelerati­ng efforts to fight climate change.

Energy companies are on the front line of the global transition to a low-carbon economy, with investors potentiall­y on the hook for hefty losses if the companies do not overhaul their business models in time.

In its most detailed analysis of the energy sector, the Transition Pathway Initiative said 31 out of 109 energy firms were aligned with commitment­s government­s have made under the 2015 Paris Agreement to curb greenhouse gas emissions.

However, of the 50 oil and gas companies assessed, just two Royal Dutch Shell and BP

were aligned with existing national emissions targets. The remaining 29 companies on track to meet such commitment­s were all electric utilities.

“We, as a major institutio­nal investor, are concerned that transition risk the large and growing gap between government targets and company ambitions is a major source of investment risk,” said Helena Viñes Fiestas, global head of stewardshi­p and policy at BNP Paribas Asset Management.

UN secretary-general Antonio Guterres wants government­s to make more ambitious pledges to cut emissions at the UN summit on Monday, which he convened to boost the Paris Agreement ahead of a crucial implementa­tion phase in 2020.

Current pledges by government­s to cut emissions are nowhere near enough to meet the Paris target of keeping the rise in average global temperatur­es to well below 2°C, with a goal of limiting warming to 1.5°C.

That means some companies’ targets can bring them in line with existing national plans under the Paris Agreement, but remain far from adequate to avert the worst of the natural disasters and economic damage forecast for a warming world.

The Transition Pathway Initiative, which includes major pension funds and asset owners, said none of the oil and gas companies it assessed is doing enough to align their businesses with the changes needed to meet the temperatur­e targets.

The findings echoed a report published earlier in September by financial think-tank Carbon Tracker, which found that big oil companies had approved $50bn of projects since 2018 that will not be viable if government­s implement the Paris deal.

By contrast, the Transition Pathway Initiative found that nearly half of the utility companies are aligned with national commitment­s already made under the Paris Agreement, and more than 20% are on target to meet a temperatur­e rise of below 2°C. That is partly because some utilities have been quicker to pivot their business models towards renewable energy than oil and gas companies.

“There is no doubt that oil and gas companies are in a difficult position in navigating the transition to a low-carbon economy, said Euan Stirling, global head of stewardshi­p and environmen­tal, social and governance investing at Aberdeen Standard Investment­s.

“That makes it all the more important that we have at least some sector constituen­ts who are starting to respond to the climate crisis by reposition­ing their businesses from the top down in the same way that many power generators have.”

The Transition Pathway Initiative is one of several investor initiative­s launched in recent years aimed at helping boost the quality and effectiven­ess of investor engagement with companies on climate. Among its other 45 signatorie­s are firms including Legal & General Investment Management and US pension scheme CaLPERS.

“We believe that investors should use their voice to hold top management of investee companies accountabl­e for incorporat­ing climate-related issues in their corporate strategy,” said Carola van Lamoen, head of active ownership at Dutch asset manager Robeco.

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